Anyone else get a chuckle out of this article?
Oh, but they already charge for the expansions! WoW has a wonderful spot, where they charge to play, and they charge for the new expansions... and they have a bajillion players. Sure, their playerbase will slowly erode with time, but Blizzard continues to make a huge return on their investment.
I doubt the subscription-based MMOs will ever completely die out. They might fade a bit into the background, but they'll stick around. Soon enough the whole F2P market will become saturated (if it's not already), which'll leave a much smaller playing field for sub-based games. Now would be a very bad time to be trying to push an MMO out on the market. In a few years, when the churn has died down some and expectations have dropped, the marketplace will probably be quite a bit more welcoming. Till then? Ouch. |
But if they went F2P, they'd just have lots of people move into the game and start complaining even more
People complain about cash shops on a f2p MMO. "What? I have to pay to get this? It should just be part of playing the game!"
BrandX Future Staff Fighter
The BrandX Collection
They still give other upgrades one doesn't have to pay for.
But if they went F2P, they'd just have lots of people move into the game and start complaining even more People complain about cash shops on a f2p MMO. "What? I have to pay to get this? It should just be part of playing the game!" |
If our own community is any indication, people will even complain about getting free stuff.
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A few are even complaining about getting buffed!
BrandX Future Staff Fighter
The BrandX Collection
Some leaders are only good "fixing" broken projects/departments/companies while others are good keeping it running once "fixed". From my understanding Jack help fix the game with ATs and powersets rather than a classless/skills based design which was too easy to cripple a character.
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See: that other superhero game he made.
The Nethergoat Archive: all my memories, all my characters, all my thoughts on CoH...eventually.
My City Was Gone
Rambling ahead.
In my non-expert opinion, the earliest MMOs are basically just graphical re-implementations of text-based Diku MUDs. "World of.." improved on that model somewhat, although not in extreme ways. MUDs themselves were based off of a barely concealed version of the Second Edition Advanced Dungeons and Dragons ruleset, which is where a number of abstractions came from:
- There are 6 stats (Strength, Constitution, Wisdom, etc), each stat builds to 18. Charisma is sometimes left out because seemingly no one could figure out what to do with the stat during that period of gaming history.
- Default classes are Rogue, Warrior, Cleric, Mage
- Spell names are near-direct lifts (although "Cure Light Wounds" was changed to "Cure Light", etc)
- The Cleric is the "D&D Cleric" who uses a mace (no bladed weapons) and heavy armor (an element not generally copied by most of the MMOs to follow)
"Cooldowns" on powers were not something widely used in MUDs and are invention of MMOs, although the basic concept existed in video games for some time before that in various forms. The main reason they are absent from text game is its hard to see what powers are available without an actual button.
There have been a few other major shifts. One thing we all tend to take for granted now is widespread knowledge about how players behave in a typical PVP environment. This really wasn't well known into the early 90s. From what I remember of the mid 90s, it was largely assumed that players could be placed in an open PVP environment and be expected to police themselves with little intervention from GameMasters. Now that we know differently from first hand experience, the fundamental design of MMOs (even PVP heavy ones) has radically changed.
For another example of a major shift, consider that into the late 90s, there were still serious debates about whether permadeath was a good idea. The text-game Gemstone III (now GSIV) kept a permadeath possibility until the mid 2000s (with ways to circumvent it), removing it finally because it was found to mainly penalize new players heaviest, possibly driving them away. But during the period when the game was free to play on AOL, the perma death feature was hailed for making death feel like a serious issue, and for creating drama and intrigue (will a Cleric save the character's soul or not?)
I still wonder how the MMO landscape would have changed had Simutronics finished and found widespread success with Hero's Journey, their planned graphical game that was intended to be the spiritual successor to GSIV.
not to put too fine a point on it, but if what i have read on the topic is to be believed, rick was, while a very smart man with some great ideas, a lot worse than having "little management experience" and the game was pretty much a disorganized mess till jack came in and actually focused things. Video games are commercial ventures as much as artistic ones, and a great idea with no coherent vision is going to crash and burn. Those who have been following the 38 studios collapse can attest to the fact that a good game and a lot of passion cannot save a critically incompetent business plan.
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Dr. Todt's theme.
i make stuff...
On top of that, he negotiated with other companies to create a CoH-killer alternate Supers-MMO while putting CoH on a shoestring budget. (snip) and the betrayal of the game. |
The game is taken out of Cryptic's (and Jack's) hands and it flourishes.
Types of Swords
My Portfolio
People can forgive a lack of content at launch, if the game has polish. The monks in space game, it launched in 2011 with a U.I from 2004, by the time they finally got around to adding U.I customisability, they had lost over a million subs.
They've only just added an actual system to look for groups, more advanced than spamming general chat, but its too late, they are going free to play.
Funcoms game has great ideas, but you play it, you start to get into it, start to get drawn into the story of a zone and then....
Five of the quests in a row are bugged an can't be completed, they patch the game and claim they have fixed these quests, but nope they are still bugged, they add new content, and this too is bugged.
For example, one of the newest quests invovles translating latin phrases into demonic text and entering it into a magic circle. Great. Except the circle is bugged and may or may not recognise the correct answer as correct, depending on how it feels.
The one that made me quit was the defend this location, but after the first wave of enemies the allies start attacking you as well.
Brawling Cactus from a distant planet.
Originally Posted by ShadowNate
;_; ?!?! What the heck is wrong with you, my god, I have never been so confused in my life!
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Some good replies in here.
Many of them represent, very well, the various reasons MMORPGs are successful and unsuccessful.
And the biggest factor in all of this is that these things have become so expensive to make. It's the Hollywood movie syndrome over and over. Budgets and expectations get bigger and bigger (and bigger and bigger!!!) and the investors, more and more, want their investments to be going into proven/sure things. Patterns of success are followed, formulas get introduced, innovation suffers, aspects of success and failure become polarized, poorly analyzed, misdiagnosed... Only there are not as many MMO customers as movie customers. And this is a relatively young platform/industry.
Ongoing, unending games will end up having a great variety of approaches if/when they get the green lights and enough financial backing. Budgets should be scaled back, but then that eats into customer expectations... and the whole thing gets ugly...
Arghh... on to replying:
The MMO boom is just the latest fad. It's like 20 years ago with the Trading Card boom. One gets successful, spawns a thousand copycats, market gets oversaturated, the weakest/poorest/most mismanaged ones die out, the strongs ones kick around, the lesser ones try to re-strategize and then the process repeats til the pool whittles down and the next big fad comes along.
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MMOs are stagnating because they've barely evolved in the past ten years. They're extremely expensive to make, so studios are afraid to take risks. They stick to what has worked in the past, but eventually players get tired of the same old grinding-levels-and-loot routine. It's time for a fresh take.
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As with most everything taken up by the mainstream... it stops focusing on what the original intentions of those creations were and becomes focused on how it can be sold to the masses.
Full, detailed, complicated systems get moved aside for quicker, easier and, most importantly, the safe paths that have proven to work.
This goes for anything and everything, unfortunately... Most regretably when it comes to art forms...
Fresh takes don't work... Funcom tried that with The Secret World and everyday on their forums there are people complaining about it being too different, lack of levelling system, no mounts, no classes, too easy, too hard, lack of content (which I find hilarious, the game is one month old, you can't expect years of content on the onset...) and so yawn and yawn.
Most people are formatted to a particular model and don't want it to deviate even if it is in a totally different setting. TSW went with a subs only model and everyday there's someone crying for F2P and asking when it's going F2P. People don't seem to realize that F2P is anything BUT free! The amount you spend on micro-transactions compared to a monthly sub with ingame money only stores is ludicrous AND ridiculous. It's fleecing on epic proportions. Couple that with the sense of entitlement and the "I want it nao and I want it all" mentality and you have an ever growing abyssal maw you can never, ever come close to satisfying. |
It is easy to forget the part that customers play in the foolish ways of marketing... and that they are generally filled with foolish people on both sides... as most people are rather foolish and so they populate every damn thing on any and all sides.
Most importantly, for MMORPGs, is that the target audience for these games became more and more the people that were not interested in MMORPGs. So, you have the majority of potential customers not wanting what the MMORPGs could best deliver. Long, unending, involved, complicated endeavors for the perpetual hobbyist/player. I'm not saying that these are the only aspects for MMORPGs, as they are not and things can be deviated from that basis, for certain... but all of those core aspects have been largely tossed aside for the non-mmorpg player.
Turning something bitter into something sweet... because there are more fans of sweet than there are bitter... tough luck for those looking for something bitter.
Also, one of the reasons why MMORPG are losing customers has to do with the economical crisis raging all over the world. With less jobs, more unemployment and job instability it's no surprise people are retracting from expenses they cannot justify when they need to worry about food, housing and, for those who have them, family.
And then there's the jaded feeling: no matter what you come up with, no matter how innovative you think you are or can be, chances are you won't get enough player retainability to keep your game afloat, mainly because today's youth (and, regrettably, the 30 something crowd) have the attention span of a fruit fly gnat and are always on the lookout for the next big shiny thing which they then proceed to devour like a cloud of hungry locusts, leaving a wasteland of detritus behind while flocking to the next new horizon which will never quench their hunger. Rinse and repeat sweetlings, rinse and repeat... |
Take away the negatives that the colorful language implies, and you're describing non-mmo video games, books, movies... any other form of entertainment that has an ending. If someone spends 10 hours reading a book and moves on, I wouldn't say that they have an attention problem. If someone completes the main arc in a single player game in 10 hours but hasn't uncovered every last easter egg planted, same thing. But only spend 10 hours trying to cover what an mmo has to offer ... you can get the gist of the game but not its full depth and complexity (to whatever extent they exist).
If entertainment needs to fit in that framework of time for a lot of people (say 30 min to an hour per session a few days a week) and provide a good return on time and money, then I think providing a F2P model works well. I wouldn't be out to call the whole genre a failure because of the failed expectations of a mismanaged project with a ginormous budget. |
Putting aside all of the vocabulary options I have for this to simply say... It sucks!
Everything different must, eventually, be made the same in order to cater to the mainstream, because "that is where the real money is".
What the MMORPG needs is more approaches akin to the Mom and Pop store and less Worlds of Walmarts.
All this being said... City Of Heroes has long been a very cleverly (if not somewhat accidentally) a wonderful mix of these worlds. It has been run much like a small, intimate, caring ma and pa store and has been extremely casual friendly (you can play small amounts of time and not feel left behind, as one example) while it has kept a decent level of immersion and involved complexity, along with being the only representation of the super hero genre for so long, while it continued to expand, improve and invent.
CoH has a lot to be proud of, in my opinion.
And to say that WoW's success was a large part due to a perfect storm is almost an understatement.
It's a shame, really... there was another game that came out about a year or so beforehand... based in that same far away galaxy that this newish mmo is based in... and it was the extreme opposite of what WoW did (in some ways, in bad ways [buggy], but in many ways, in great ways [phenomenally involved and detailed... even beyond the all father UO - due to Raph Koster's designs]). And the shame of it is... both worlds should have continued and lived on... but the quick and easy and mass appeal won out... and the other facet died off (betrayed and murdered by the dark side).
There's plenty of room in this world for variety and the budgets and plans just have to be focused and reasonable about what is possible.
I suppose that is another reason for CoH's success. They've not over-stretched to reach too hard for far more. Some times we may think they haven't reached enough (this game has been so good, it should be even more popular than it has been), but it does seem like you just can't win over that many newer people with an older game. And I am certainly glad that they haven't sold the old game out for something that is a marketed "can't miss" clone.
Anyway... Yes. Umm... I mean... No. Wait... what was the question? Oh, right... What.
and round up everyone that knows more than they do"-Dylan
I'd say the problem with the MMO market is everyone and their mother rushed out to throw out some half-*** slapped together generic fantasy game. Of course a huge percentage are gonna fail! Even if they were actually good, the market is over saturated at this point, and you're going to have to slog your way through a huge pile of crap to get anywhere.
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This is my general feeling as well... Of all the many MMO's ive tried in the past several years, only a handful even stick out to me as being enjoyable, and I've tried many.
It really reminds me of the video game crash during the early 80s.. Same basic concept. To many companies pumping out too many (low-quality and halfassed) products at once. Trying to jump on a new bandwagon.
Also, I think any game that boasts itself as a "Serious competitor to WoW" is doomed to failure. The only company that is going to kill WoW is Blizzard themselves.
I'm also of the mindset that making MMOs increasingly easier is costing them commitement in the long run.
People tend to get more attached to things they had to work hard for. From everything to real-life money (I.E., they know the value of a dollar, are less likely to blow it/part from it easily) to video game characters.
Modern games, when compared to MMO's of years gone passed, basically have an "instant-50 button". Leveling becomes so easy, death becomes so meaningless, even godly items are easy to get. The end result is people gobbling everything up and just quitting because they have little emotional attachment to their character.
CoH avoids this due to its alt friendliness, and some people get quite attached to their characters through role playing.
I played FFXI back when the game first launched in the US. It was tough, it was grueling, you couldn't solo, there was very little quest direction, no one knew what anything did, making money could be a chore, you could de-level from dying, you were "level locked" every 5 levels after 60 (up to 75) and had to do tough quests to unlock the following 5 levels, leveling up weapon skills could take days, crafting took months... Sounds like hell to a modern MMO gamer.. But you know what? We toughed it out, we hit the level cap, we played the same toon for years on end all because we got super attached to it. Formed great communities full of helpful people who would be willing to take a few hours out of their day to help you complete your AF or some other quest.
Go ask someone in WoW, or [insert new MMO here] to help you with a quest that could take upwards of a few hours, and even potentially cause them death and de-leveling.. Odds are you'd be laughed at and mocked, hell even your 'friends' might whine a bit and make an excuse.. Yet completely random people, some who couldn't even speak English would agree to help you in that game.
It was tough for me to quit, I felt like I was deserting my character, a part of me that I had worked on for years. I have never experienced that feeling in an MMO again.
The whole thing with WoW's success reminds me of an excerpt I read from Malcom Gladwell's Outliers, about how the a dozen or so of the richest people in the world were all born in a very specific 10 year span in a very specific place.
I find it funny that the article poses the question of whether or not MMOs are dying, then summarily answers the question a few paragraphs in with a resounding NO. I actually tried to post up a rather lengthy checklist of the reasons why it is the subscription model is dying/why it is that WoW will continue to be played for a very long time, but unfortunately the comment section deleted it and I never saved a copy . Here is a redone version:
#1: Time investment. With so many factors of MMOs coming down to gaining wealth, grinding, and economic treadmills of some kind, people are less likely to switch MMOs because a new MMO makes people start from scratch. Starting from scratch = losing everything you worked for in the previous game, and such an immense loss is too much to bear for players at large. Because of this, they will continue to play the same game they have been playing prior because they don't want to invest all that time just to get back to where they previously were in the last game.
#2: Community. An MMO's ability to function is dependent on how large the community of the game is, with a larger game functioning better. Through a growing economy, through accumulating rare drops, a larger community makes it more likely that you'll eventually buy the rare item you want, find people you want to play with, find people of the appropriate levels, so on and so forth. Smaller MMOs don't have that advantage, and because of this players will flock to the MMOs that are already successful.
A second part of the community comes in how good it is. While massive communities can let you find niches within them, smaller games can't. If a bad group of players decides to play the game, they can run off everyone who would be interested with their antics. This makes the MMO turn into a niche game for a niche genre for a niche population, ever dwindling how well it functions.
#3: Availability. The subscription model ultimately discriminates against potential players, and does so in two tiers. First, the person who can't afford a subscription and doesn't think it is worth it. Often times, these players can contribute to the game in other important matters (see #2), and so excluding these players will harm the game ultimately. The second is a person who can't afford multiple subscriptions to multiple games. Subscriptions are purchased time on the game, and if someone doesn't spend all of that time playing the game they are losing out on their investment. Basically a subscription model punishes players who don't have a lot of free time to play the game. Having multiple subscriptions means that you're doubling your investment for half the return, and logically people just don't do that. This causes isolation in the markets, making it so people only play one subscription MMO at any one time, and are reluctant to move away from it or play a smaller game.
#4: Aging. The biggest problem with the MMO playerbase for the current games is that they are getting older. The MMO appeals largely to people who have a lot of free time (the unemployed, the youth, the retired, ect). The problem is that as time goes on, these people have less and less free time. As the youth get older, they develop more responsibilities that require more time devotion, and thus don't have the time to bother with a monthly fee for a game. The unemployed are constantly seeking employment, and once they have it their devotion to the game goes away. The retired... generally die within 5 years of retiring. With the youth and the retired there is a generational effect of around 5 to 7 years where the player base leaves, and new players have to come in. Unfortunately these MMOs are on aging technology as well, leaving other people to flock to newer shinies than to play older games. Free to play rectifies this situation by making it costless to not play a game, but the subscription model enhances this problem.
TPN trial guide video / MoM trial guide video / DD trial guide video / BAF trial guide video
/ Lambda trial guide video / Keyes trial guide video / Magisterium trial guide video / Underground trial guide
On top of that, he negotiated with other companies to create a CoH-killer alternate Supers-MMO while putting CoH on a shoestring budget. |
Current Blog Post: "Why I am an Atheist..."
"And I say now these kittens, they do not get trained/As we did in the days when Victoria reigned!" -- T. S. Eliot, "Gus, the Theatre Cat"
The gorilla MMO does do a number of things well, I think. What I will give them credit for is realizing early on that they were essentially building a virtual theme park. The zone design emphasizes previews of what's to come--you are constantly walking through one area and seeing huge representations of the next thing you will encounter. It's actually laid out similarly to how an amusement park places its thrill rides, where you see reveals of the ride as you approach it.
(Side note: Did you know that roller coasters are actually specifically engineered to create the "roaring" sounds that are associated with them? It is very possible to design roller coasters that are "quiet" (with the exception of the riders) but most rides are fitted with hollow rails and washers or sound makers in the wheels to make it louder. When a major park invests in a roller coaster, the ride is designed not just for the riders, but to enhance the atmosphere of the park itself, and give guests a sense of thrills even if they are too afraid to actually ride themselves.
The gorilla MMO is similarly self-aware. It implements many situations where lower level players have an opportunity to witness an area far beyond their current skill, or observe the activities of much higher level players. There is also often a "center piece" for each zone that frames the area or showcases where a big raid/dungeon might exist.)
Fresh takes don't work... Funcom tried that with The Secret World and everyday on their forums there are people complaining about it being too different, lack of levelling system, no mounts, no classes, too easy, too hard, lack of content (which I find hilarious, the game is one month old, you can't expect years of content on the onset...) and so yawn and yawn.
Most people are formatted to a particular model and don't want it to deviate even if it is in a totally different setting. TSW went with a subs only model and everyday there's someone crying for F2P and asking when it's going F2P. People don't seem to realize that F2P is anything BUT free! The amount you spend on micro-transactions compared to a monthly sub with ingame money only stores is ludicrous AND ridiculous. It's fleecing on epic proportions. Couple that with the sense of entitlement and the "I want it nao and I want it all" mentality and you have an ever growing abyssal maw you can never, ever come close to satisfying. Also, one of the reasons why MMORPG are losing customers has to do with the economical crisis raging all over the world. With less jobs, more unemployment and job instability it's no surprise people are retracting from expenses they cannot justify when they need to worry about food, housing and, for those who have them, family. And then there's the jaded feeling: no matter what you come up with, no matter how innovative you think you are or can be, chances are you won't get enough player retainability to keep your game afloat, mainly because today's youth (and, regrettably, the 30 something crowd) have the attention span of a fruit fly gnat and are always on the lookout for the next big shiny thing which they then proceed to devour like a cloud of hungry locusts, leaving a wasteland of detritus behind while flocking to the next new horizon which will never quench their hunger. Rinse and repeat sweetlings, rinse and repeat... |
- The Italian Job: The Godfather Returns #1151
Beginner - Encounter a renewed age for the Mook and the Family when Emile Marcone escapes from the Zig!
- Along Came a... Bug!? #528482
Average - A new race of aliens arrives on Earth. And Vanguard has you investigate them!
- The Court of the Blood Countess: The Rise of the Blood Countess #3805
Advanced - Go back in time and witness the birth of a vampire. Follow her to key moments in her life in order to stop her! A story of intrigue, drama and horror! Blood & Violence... not recommend to solo!
This is my general feeling as well... Of all the many MMO's ive tried in the past several years, only a handful even stick out to me as being enjoyable, and I've tried many.
It really reminds me of the video game crash during the early 80s.. Same basic concept. To many companies pumping out too many (low-quality and halfassed) products at once. Trying to jump on a new bandwagon. Also, I think any game that boasts itself as a "Serious competitor to WoW" is doomed to failure. The only company that is going to kill WoW is Blizzard themselves. |
"I have something to say! It's better to burn out then to fade away!"
If our own community is any indication, people will even complain about getting free stuff.
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Yes there are people like that in every game/forum.
Don't worry about Jack. He's virtually invisible at the other [visually softer superhero mmo] because he's stroking that [game based on an rpg ruleset that is slated for an unceremonial killoff.]
People can forgive a lack of content at launch, if the game has polish. The monks in space game, it launched in 2011 with a U.I from 2004, by the time they finally got around to adding U.I customisability, they had lost over a million subs.
They've only just added an actual system to look for groups, more advanced than spamming general chat, but its too late, they are going free to play. Funcoms game has great ideas, but you play it, you start to get into it, start to get drawn into the story of a zone and then.... Five of the quests in a row are bugged an can't be completed, they patch the game and claim they have fixed these quests, but nope they are still bugged, they add new content, and this too is bugged. For example, one of the newest quests invovles translating latin phrases into demonic text and entering it into a magic circle. Great. Except the circle is bugged and may or may not recognise the correct answer as correct, depending on how it feels. The one that made me quit was the defend this location, but after the first wave of enemies the allies start attacking you as well. |
I'm only ladylike when compared to my sister.
I'm also of the mindset that making MMOs increasingly easier is costing them commitement in the long run.
People tend to get more attached to things they had to work hard for. From everything to real-life money (I.E., they know the value of a dollar, are less likely to blow it/part from it easily) to video game characters. Modern games, when compared to MMO's of years gone passed, basically have an "instant-50 button". Leveling becomes so easy, death becomes so meaningless, even godly items are easy to get. The end result is people gobbling everything up and just quitting because they have little emotional attachment to their character. CoH avoids this due to its alt friendliness, and some people get quite attached to their characters through role playing. I played FFXI back when the game first launched in the US. It was tough, it was grueling, you couldn't solo, there was very little quest direction, no one knew what anything did, making money could be a chore, you could de-level from dying, you were "level locked" every 5 levels after 60 (up to 75) and had to do tough quests to unlock the following 5 levels, leveling up weapon skills could take days, crafting took months... Sounds like hell to a modern MMO gamer.. But you know what? We toughed it out, we hit the level cap, we played the same toon for years on end all because we got super attached to it. Formed great communities full of helpful people who would be willing to take a few hours out of their day to help you complete your AF or some other quest. Go ask someone in WoW, or [insert new MMO here] to help you with a quest that could take upwards of a few hours, and even potentially cause them death and de-leveling.. Odds are you'd be laughed at and mocked, hell even your 'friends' might whine a bit and make an excuse.. Yet completely random people, some who couldn't even speak English would agree to help you in that game. It was tough for me to quit, I felt like I was deserting my character, a part of me that I had worked on for years. I have never experienced that feeling in an MMO again. |
However, other cultures are *more willing* to help out (i have noticed that with EU players, if you are stuck they are more inclined to not help due to lack of time, and not due to a risk of "failure"...
What EU Dev's need to know about American online Gamers. EU GDC 2012
I would like to point out that the talk was given by an American developer.
If the game has already established itself, then you have to keep the *exisiting* players (which will decrease over time) and also get in newer players (to keep up the churn level to stay stable)... and due to how the *playing* population has changed over the years, it makes it harder and harder... you have to start paying attention to these factors to keep the churn level up as your general playing population decreases.
If you think about it, would CoX would have stayed alive if they had stayed Subscription only and made 1-50 still take 200+ hours?
Eventually, the game would have dropped to such a low level that it wouldn't be possible to stay alive.
Making it faster to level meant that you could try out many different alts in a *sensible* amount of time.
Changes to how debt worked meant that levelling was faster.
The game *has* evolved drastically (especially in the past couple of years), it is faster, failure is almost impossible (and yet people still complain about how hard something can bewhen they dont use inspirations to help out... and they *DO* drop like candy... so use them liberally).
Some leaders are only good "fixing" broken projects/departments/companies while others are good keeping it running once "fixed". From my understanding Jack help fix the game with ATs and powersets rather than a classless/skills based design which was too easy to cripple a character.
The problem with fixers is they will always look for things needing "fixing", even when there isn't a need.
Father Xmas - Level 50 Ice/Ice Tanker - Victory
$725 and $1350 parts lists --- My guide to computer components
Tempus unum hominem manet