600,000 Super Packs


8_Ball

 

Posted

I think I bought 18 packs total. I had all of the costume pieces by my 8th pack, had the wolf by the 15th pack, ended up with about 500 reward merits, 1 catalyst, and about 8 ATO's. Oh...and 60 enhancement boosters and unslotters.


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Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ael Rhiana View Post
I think I bought 18 packs total. I had all of the costume pieces by my 8th pack, had the wolf by the 15th pack, ended up with about 500 reward merits, 1 catalyst, and about 8 ATO's. Oh...and 60 enhancement boosters and unslotters.
I bought 24 and was still one costume piece short so bought another 12 and got it. I also got >1500 merits in the first 24. I had one pack where 4/5 rewards were merits. No doggie, not buying more of the old ones but will buy the new ones.


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Originally Posted by Forbin_Project View Post
Well I'd be happy to help you tip them so send me your extra money. I still haven't gotten the black doggie.
I've been wasting my money for so many years that I'm afraid I've become far too skilled at it to need any help - thanks for offering.

At any rate good luck with the wolf...


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Posted

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Originally Posted by Lothic View Post
Just about the only part of this I'd even come close to label "gambling" would be the single Black Wolf card. The rest of it is so close to the pseudo-deterministic side of the spectrum that I'll just have to respectfully disagree with your blanket statement.
You can disagree if you like, but "gambling" is serviceable shorthand for spending money to have a chance at desirable returns. The only thing I desire from the Super Packs is the costume set and I refuse to bank on my luck in acquiring it. I avoid numerous other randomly packaged items for similar reasons.


Goodbye may seem forever
Farewell is like the end
But in my heart's the memory
And there you'll always be
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Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Arcanaville View Post
During the Pummit, I believe it was announced that NCSoft sold over 600,000 super packs (aka three million cards). Based on the best information we have available for super pack content, I can estimate how much "stuff" has been delivered to players in superpacks. For those that like number blizzards, here's my super pack results:

Estimated number of cards by type:

Common: 1,326,000
Uncommon: 600,000
Rare: 600,000
Very Rare: 474,000

Estimated Consumables (totals, not cards):

Medium Dual Inspirations: 132,600
Medium Team Inspirations: 99,450
Medium Team Dual Inspirations: 66,300
Large Dual Inspirations: 116,025
Large Team Inspirations: 82,875
Large Team Dual Inspirations: 49,725
Enhancement Unslotters: 397,782
Enhancement Boosters: 1,268,980
Enhancement Catalyst: 38,548
Revive Temporary Power: 289,978
Restore Temporary Power: 289,978
Experienced Temporary Power: 454,032
XP Booster: 247,439
Windfall Power: 227,766
Prestige Booster: 49,725

Estimated ATIOs: 260,792
Estimated Reward Merits: 25,810,525


Miscellany:

Estimated value of ATIOs in superpacks based on current pricing: five to fifteen trillion influence

Under optimal conditions, maximum number of Black Wolf pets that are statistically likely: 1428 (approximately one in 420 packs)

Estimated Points spent on Superpacks: between 36 and 48 million
Estimated Value of Points: $375,000 - $600,000
(numbers do not factor in reward token purchases)
The fact that you do this for fun is terrifying.


Andy Belford
Community Manager
Paragon Studios

 

Posted

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Originally Posted by Zwillinger View Post
The fact that you do this for fun is terrifying.
The fact that she also makes it look easy is stupefying.


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Originally Posted by Tenzhi View Post
You can disagree if you like, but "gambling" is serviceable shorthand for spending money to have a chance at desirable returns. The only thing I desire from the Super Packs is the costume set and I refuse to bank on my luck in acquiring it. I avoid numerous other randomly packaged items for similar reasons.
Yes but there is a difference between the OVERALL chance you have to get different things with these Super Packs. Sure the odds for the Black Wolf in particular are relatively low. But the odds are so phenomenally in our favor to get the complete Elemental costume set within 20-30 packs that it's just about as close to being strictly deterministic as the sun rising in the East tomorrow morning. Buy 30 packs and you'll have the set.

I simply find fault with your seeming willingness to look at one part of the Super Pack system and label the entirety as "pure random gambling". Just because the Black Wolf is hard to get doesn't mean that ANYTHING else you could get from Super Packs is. *shrugs*


Loth 50 Fire/Rad Controller [1392 Badges] [300 non-AE Souvenirs]
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Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Arcanaville View Post
Under optimal conditions, maximum number of Black Wolf pets that are statistically likely: 1428 (approximately one in 420 packs)
I thought that, once the costume pieces had been gotten, the chance of getting a wolf was about 1 in 250 packs?


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Originally Posted by Lothic View Post
Yes but there is a difference between the OVERALL chance you have to get different things with these Super Packs. Sure the odds for the Black Wolf in particular are relatively low. But the odds are so phenomenally in our favor to get the complete Elemental costume set within 20-30 packs that it's just about as close to being strictly deterministic as the sun rising in the East tomorrow morning. Buy 30 packs and you'll have the set.
This does not fit with how I understand statistics to work.

(Of course, it doesn't matter to me, since they contain things I actively unwant, so I'm not getting any.)


 

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Originally Posted by seebs View Post
This does not fit with how I understand statistics to work.

(Of course, it doesn't matter to me, since they contain things I actively unwant, so I'm not getting any.)
Different items in these packs are WEIGHTED differently. That means that for every pack you open you're going to be much more likely to get some things (the Elemental Set items) than other things (the Black Wolf).

I'll leave it to Arcanaville to explain the details if she wants. Suffice it to say if you are willing to buy roughly 20-30 packs you will have a much greater than 50% chance to have ALL the elemental set pieces. The odds are so much in our favor on those things it's almost laughable to call it gambling under any connotation.


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Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by seebs View Post
This does not fit with how I understand statistics to work.
It's not a normal distribution. The costume pieces are significantly weighted so that they appear early. It's entirely possible for a player to not receive the whole set after 20 packs, but the chance of that happening is extremely low.


De minimis non curat Lex Luthor.

 

Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lothic View Post
Yes but there is a difference between the OVERALL chance you have to get different things with these Super Packs. Sure the odds for the Black Wolf in particular are relatively low. But the odds are so phenomenally in our favor to get the complete Elemental costume set within 20-30 packs that it's just about as close to being strictly deterministic as the sun rising in the East tomorrow morning. Buy 30 packs and you'll have the set.

I simply find fault with your seeming willingness to look at one part of the Super Pack system and label the entirety as "pure random gambling". Just because the Black Wolf is hard to get doesn't mean that ANYTHING else you could get from Super Packs is. *shrugs*
I didn't say anything about the Black Wolf. I don't care about the Black Wolf. It is, in fact, not the smallest part of my consideration. There is no costume set that I would randomly pay 2400+ points for simply because I wasn't lucky enough to get it at around the 800 point mark.


Goodbye may seem forever
Farewell is like the end
But in my heart's the memory
And there you'll always be
-- The Fox and the Hound

 

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tenzhi View Post
I didn't say anything about the Black Wolf. I don't care about the Black Wolf. It is, in fact, not the smallest part of my consideration. There is no costume set that I would randomly pay 2400+ points for simply because I wasn't lucky enough to get it at around the 800 point mark.
Then I'll simply conclude by saying "your loss, mate".


Loth 50 Fire/Rad Controller [1392 Badges] [300 non-AE Souvenirs]
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Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by seebs View Post
Of course, it doesn't matter to me, since they contain things I actively unwant, so I'm not getting any.
What exactly are the things in the packs that you'd be able to find zero use for, and are tyring to avoid ever getting near your avatar?


@Golden Girl

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Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lothic View Post
Suffice it to say if you are willing to buy roughly 20-30 packs you will have a much greater than 50% chance to have ALL the elemental set pieces.
Even so, as long as the chance is less than 100%, I am reluctant to spend real money on it. At the Pummit, they floated the idea of players being able to sell their unopened Super Packs at the auctionhouse. I would be ok with risking INF on a random roll.


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My Webcomics

 

Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lothic View Post
Then I'll simply conclude by saying "your loss, mate".
I've lost nothing tangible. Had I purchased Super Packs, I probably would have.


Goodbye may seem forever
Farewell is like the end
But in my heart's the memory
And there you'll always be
-- The Fox and the Hound

 

Posted

I did the super packs to get the costumes...

I sold the ATOs (made a nice chunk of change I might add)
Used the excessive merits to buy high selling recipes..made an impressive chunk of inf.
The xp boosters came in handy for the level 30-40 range on a few toons
The dual insps are great; especially at lower levels when insp carrying is low.
The catalyst woot

The only thing I actually haven't used were the few enhancement unslotters I got...

So I think it's funny when people say the packs are full of useless stuff... to each their own. I will buy SP2 when they come out and hopefully are on sale when they release.

(I was THIS close to buying a few more super packs for catalysts, but ended up getting them in game hehe)


Quote:
Originally Posted by Paladiamors View Post
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Posted

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Originally Posted by Golden Girl View Post
What exactly are the things in the packs that you'd be able to find zero use for, and are tyring to avoid ever getting near your avatar?
I'm not seebs, but I'll answer after pointing out that unwanted is not the same as not knowing the use for. I could use all of the items in the packs, I suppose, I just have zero reason to do so.
In my case I have no real use for:
  • Insiprations - Nice and all, but I often find myself going whole playing sessions without popping one anyway
  • Reward Merits - I tend not to really spend the ones I have now. I think my main character is sitting on a couple thousand of them.
  • Enhancements - The ATOs are nice, but I'm not guaranteed to get the ones I want, nor am I really into min/maxing my build. I don't have a fully IO'd out character at all. The inf I could get selling them is likewise a waste. I've got a few billion in inf I don't spend now.
  • Enhancement Boosters, Unslotters, and Catalysts - More of the same. It's not that I don't know what they're for or what they can do; I just don't find them to be needed.
  • Experience Boosters - I don't have any real need here either. Leveling is stupidly easy in this game even without farming.
  • The pet wolf - It does what now? Yeah.

Basically I'd love to get the costume, but I honestly have no interest in anything else the packs include. I know the costume is specifically included to tempt people like me, but so far it hasn't. I'm not upset with Paragon Studios trying to make money (and apparently they did well on these) because the more they make the more they'll spend on developing things I want like new powers, un-super packed costumes, and content. Nor do I begrudge those who loved the packs or anything like that. I just wish you and others wouldn't pretend like the packs are full of things everyone wants. I'll accept that line of reasoning from Zwill or Black Pebble, they're paid to say so. You're just oblivious.


"Mastermind Pets operate...differently, and aren't as easily fixed. Especially the Bruiser. I want to take him out behind the woodshed and pull an "old yeller" on him at times." - Castle

 

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Golden Girl View Post
What exactly are the things in the packs that you'd be able to find zero use for, and are tyring to avoid ever getting near your avatar?
Some of the inspirationy things.

Long story short: I have a slight tendency towards packrat/hoarding behavior. I find it upsetting to use consumables that are not actually supplied by the game. So if there's no way for something to come into existence except someone spending money to make it, I will never use it. Meaning it's even MORE clutter for my already badly cluttered in-game mail. Which I already can't actually unclutter, because I have this huge stack of one-time things that I can only claim for one character.

So no super packs for me as long as the consumables are irreplaceable. If they become replaceable through normal play, then I lose my objection to them, because then those are ordinary items I can use or not.


 

Posted

I got the black wolf pet on the last card in my second pack of 24s.

Funny thing is, I was not looking for the wolf pet. I wanted the rezzes, and the merits, experience tokens, unslotters, and ATOs

Matter of fact, I love everything in the Superpacks EXCEPT the team inspirations..I wish I could dump the useless things in WW....someone might want them....maybe.

Lisa-Looking forward to Super Pack 2


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You've got the power
winners are losers
who got up and gave it just one more try

***Dennis DeYoung

 

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Quote:
Originally Posted by McCharraigin View Post
Matter of fact, I love everything in the Superpacks EXCEPT the team inspirations..I wish I could dump the useless things in WW....someone might want them....maybe.
I've used Team inspirations to salvage a TF or two when we got the end and it looked like the team wasn't going to be able to quite make it. It's nice to be able to claim and pop a few to buff everyone up and get over a difficulty hump or something. I wouldn't plan to need to do that, but I think it's nice when the alternative is abandoning a TF.


 

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oldeb View Post
  • Insiprations - Nice and all, but I often find myself going whole playing sessions without popping one anyway
  • Reward Merits - I tend not to really spend the ones I have now. I think my main character is sitting on a couple thousand of them.
  • Enhancements - The ATOs are nice, but I'm not guaranteed to get the ones I want, nor am I really into min/maxing my build. I don't have a fully IO'd out character at all. The inf I could get selling them is likewise a waste. I've got a few billion in inf I don't spend now.
  • Enhancement Boosters, Unslotters, and Catalysts - More of the same. It's not that I don't know what they're for or what they can do; I just don't find them to be needed.
  • Experience Boosters - I don't have any real need here either. Leveling is stupidly easy in this game even without farming.
  • The pet wolf - It does what now? Yeah.

Visit the Hero Corps Analyst for a slider adjustment- suddenly, you'll have a use for most of that stuff!

Well, not the wolf, but....

=P


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Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Zwillinger View Post
The fact that you do this for fun is terrifying.
Coming from the person whose career involves dealing with internet personalities every day, that's saying something.


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Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nethergoat View Post
Visit the Hero Corps Analyst for a slider adjustment- suddenly, you'll have a use for most of that stuff!

Well, not the wolf, but....

=P
Ha. I figured someone would say that. Ignoring that I don't run on the default difficulty with all my characters for a moment, what you're suggesting is that I should make the game harder so I can pay to make the game easier.

You're using the same line of reasoning that Golden Girl was. It's not that I don't know how to use them, what they do, or why other people use them. I just don't care. I didn't need them to run mission arcs, SF/TFs, or incarnate content. I'm not concerned that I'm running on x3 while someone else is running at x8. Yes, I'm annoyed that there's a costume I don't have and, yes, I'd jump at the chance to buy it outright without the whole pack thing. I know I'm in the minority in not buying any packs. I'm okay with other people buying them if it makes them happy, although I'll admit part of me did want them to crash and burn so they'd wouldn't package another costume into the super packs. What bugs me is people like you and Golden Girl thinking that without them you're either gimped or too dumb to know what the items do.


"Mastermind Pets operate...differently, and aren't as easily fixed. Especially the Bruiser. I want to take him out behind the woodshed and pull an "old yeller" on him at times." - Castle