Human potential
Looking at the human race as a whole I would have to disagree. Joe Rogan has a really good point in one of his stand-up routines. If the smartest people were to disappear i.e. engineers, mathematicians, physicists, etc., which I'm sure we can agree only account for a small fraction of the population, what would happen to the rest of us? In other words, who knows how stuff works? Most of us don't. Honestly, I don't know how to put together a toaster from scratch. I have no idea how a heating element works. I know electricity goes to it and that's about it. In fact, all I really know is I can make money and buy a toaster that someone somewhere put together for me. So sure, every generation exceeds the accomplishments of the one preceding it but realistically we're only talking about a handful of folks who are really capable of doing these things.
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You have it in you to figure out a toaster. I'm no electrician, nor am I an engineer or a scientist and I could assemble a rudimentary toaster just using some steel bits and pieces, a car battery, and some trial an error.
If some cosmic force were to wipe out every scientist, doctor, and engineer on the planet and just leave us "dummies" we would revert back to a level of technology where we would be able function (which IMO would be surprisingly well) then begin the long process of building on that foundation which would probably occur sooner than later provided that cosmic force didn't wipe out the accumulated knowledge stored in books or computers.
Depending on how inquisitive you are and your penchant for study or research you'll find that you can teach yourself a great many things.
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However, in effort to clarify;
Darwin gave us a good foundation, but we've moved so far past 'survival of the fittest' at this point. Lamark's been given the egg treatment for decades. It's good, no it's bad, no it's good. New discoveries with stem cells have proven, at least to a degree, that his theory wasn't a total wash. The debate still rages however and I must caution here, we can't even begin to truly understand the complexity of the human mind and it's real impact on evolution (as a sentient species making more choices than before, etc.) |
There has been evidence that a pseudo-Lamarckian inheritance can occur in some situations related to gene expression and inhibition, but that doesn't really qualify as resurrecting Lamarck.
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If some cosmic force were to wipe out every scientist, doctor, and engineer on the planet...
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Actually, unless this cosmic force also wiped out books, instruction manuals, the internet and such... Well, I don't think it would take the world all that long to get back up to speed.
Oh sure, 20 years down the road we may not be as technologically advanced as we would have been, but I am pretty sure we'd probably be back at par to where we were.
Yes on turning off evolution as we know it. We've evolved into a species that can adapt so, in effect, we evolve on a case by case basis. All but gone are the days when we grow an appendage or acquire a mechanism to gain an upper hand on the world around us.
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Anyone else read Greg Bear's Darwin's Radio? Interesting take on speciation.
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Actually, unless this cosmic force also wiped out books, instruction manuals, the internet and such... Well, I don't think it would take the world all that long to get back up to speed.
Oh sure, 20 years down the road we may not be as technologically advanced as we would have been, but I am pretty sure we'd probably be back at par to where we were. |
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If all the "smart" people disappeared tomorrow, Im sure a lot of people would put down their BS and figure it out.
I dont know how to fix a toaster, but I would learn if I really wanted some toast.
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You have it in you to figure out a toaster. I'm no electrician, nor am I an engineer or a scientist and I could assemble a rudimentary toaster just using some steel bits and pieces, a car battery, and some trial an error.
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You would probably be better off using some steel bits and pieces and a car battery to make a lighter and toast your bread over a fire.
If some cosmic force were to wipe out every scientist, doctor, and engineer on the planet and just leave us "dummies" we would revert back to a level of technology where we would be able function (which IMO would be surprisingly well) then begin the long process of building on that foundation which would probably occur sooner than later provided that cosmic force didn't wipe out the accumulated knowledge stored in books or computers. |
You'd tolerate the loss of every physician on the planet less. Civilization would survive for a while, just with less people, but then you run the risk of very serious things getting out of control that currently are controlled by the current modern health care system in most of the world: mass immunization would be difficult under those circumstances, and with that gone general epidemics would return.
You cannot simply reinvent twentieth century medicine from reading books in a short amount of time. Vast amounts of knowledge and skill exist primarily or solely within the minds of living physicians. Even where things are written down, it often takes trained physicians to know where to look, and what to read and what to ignore.
Depending on your definition of "engineer" there would be some significant side effects of losing literally all of them simultaneously. They include people running things that aren't designed to operate without them indefinitely: the national power grid, nuclear power plants, chemical processing facilities, etc.
Reinventing technological civilization, even with documentation, always tends to sound easier than it actually is, because so few people are aware of all the tiny details that are critical to making it all work correctly. Real scientists, engineers, and doctors know when the books are misleading or wrong or incomplete. Most people will not, and it will be costly in many ways to discover. Its not that its impossible, its more a question of how many human beings would be left alive by the time we figured it out, and also whether we would all collectively put enough effort into actually doing it. We're not really marshalling humanity's best efforts to combat global climate change even though the potential downstream effects could be catastrophic. Is it automatically true that humanity would marshal its best efforts to preserving, and then reproducing modern technology if they were told all the people who used to do it are now gone and this will have a potentially serious impact at some indetermined future date.
That's the sort of problem humanity historically has a very poor track record on.
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Reinventing technological civilization, even with documentation, always tends to sound easier than it actually is, because so few people are aware of all the tiny details that are critical to making it all work correctly. Real scientists, engineers, and doctors know when the books are misleading or wrong or incomplete. Most people will not, and it will be costly in many ways to discover. Its not that its impossible, its more a question of how many human beings would be left alive by the time we figured it out, and also whether we would all collectively put enough effort into actually doing it. We're not really marshalling humanity's best efforts to combat global climate change even though the potential downstream effects could be catastrophic. Is it automatically true that humanity would marshal its best efforts to preserving, and then reproducing modern technology if they were told all the people who used to do it are now gone and this will have a potentially serious impact at some indetermined future date.
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Doesn't it depend on what your definition of "smart" person is?
Are we just losing scientists, physicians, engineers or are we also losing mechanics, electricians, carpenters, cement masons, and plumbers?
Are you talking "Life After Smart People" or "Planet of the Liberal Arts Majors"?
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Doesn't it depend on what your definition of "smart" person is?
Are we just losing scientists, physicians, engineers or are we also losing mechanics, electricians, carpenters, cement masons, and plumbers? Are you talking "Life After Smart People" or "Planet of the Liberal Arts Majors"? |
...until they also disappear!!!
Then the plot thickens.
LOL ok I give. Even I was wincing by the time I pressed the submit button on my previous post here.
You might kill yourself before learning that you can't effectively make the heating elements from steel, and if you get lucky you may run out of batteries before you realize you're shorting all of them out too quickly.
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You would probably be better off using some steel bits and pieces and a car battery to make a lighter and toast your bread over a fire. |
Maybe I should have been a bit more wordy in my previous reply, its not that I would expect modern civilation to go on without a hiccup or revert to something say at the technological level of the early 20th century (then again maybe they could - simple inventors were able to devise and build internal combustion engines), but if all the brainy types were to disappear, I also dont think we would be in nearly as bad a shape as you suggest. Yes, brain surgury, limb grafts and keeping the local nuke plant from putting on a helluva light show would be problematic, I certainly expect society to become more insular but given the common pool of knowledge most people have been exposed to, some things that have plauged humanity even as late as the 19th century (maternity wards using common supplies and tools as they delivered babies leading to high mother and infant mortality rates compunded by the use of lead pipes) would be avoided. We know enough about general sanitation to better protect ourselves from some of the events in the past that wreaked havoc when it came to some particulalry devastating epidemics and so on.
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Interesting.
You should add that to this thread: http://boards.cityofheroes.com/showthread.php?t=242925
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