Predictions On Post-Merger

So I have seen a lot of talk about the speculation on prices of items and whatnot that will be effected Post-Going Rogue Release. Just wanted to see if I could make a thread for that talk with all the Market Guru's (Or ebil marketeers)

So basically what do you guys think you'll be holding onto for a while to observe prices? Any predictions on the effect the merger will be having on big ticket items? If so, which do you guys think will be effected the greatest?

You guys are definitely going to want to hold onto your extra Ceramic Armor Plate salvage.

Any heroes with Pet Damage recipes/enhancements will need to cling to them for dear life, cause once the markets merge, the MMs will be raising the prices through the roof on those, and you can get a lot more out of them. I'm thinking of even buying up a ton of stock and then selling when GR hits.

Its too late to make big money on anything...but here's what I've been doing since GR was announced last summer. Pre-market merger I was going to gun run these things.

1) bought 15 full sets of Pet Damage purples blueside and crafted them (total cost about 170M influence including crafting)

2) bought 10x stacks of the Pet Damage uniques and Recharge Intensive Pet uniques. I tended to buy these at the earliest available level and level 30 so they'd be more useful than the level 50 versions. These provide bonus resistance and defense to all of the MMs pets so very useful to them and rare in low level versions redside some selling for 300M per recipe. The prices won't be that high any more....but more than the average price of 55k I paid for them over the last year.

3) bought 10x stacks of base salvage not available on the other side. Since I expected to gun run and meet pre-standing bids for 10-20M to completist collectors I thought this would be useful....now....not so much.

4) stocked up on tons of recipes redside which ran at 25% the blueside price since I figure the prices will be more like blueside's in the merger. Non-unique LotG, Numina, etc were incldued. Considering I didn't pay much I doubt I lose here....though the new merit of the month seems to limit the potential upside for me here.

5) bought odd PvP recipes much cheaper on redside.

It'll take a while to sell my stock w/o killing market prices in the new market but I'd guess I'll make like 25-50B over 12 mos selling this stuff.

I sold a pan proc on blue for 1.8bil, then bought one on red for 600mil. Not really sure what's going to happen to with pvp ios though. I do see purples going up in price for a couple of months (just because a lot of people will be playing lowbies) so I bought 2-3 sets of each on blue.

It's hard to say what will go up with the ability to buy merits in the alignment lounges. The only prediction that would be an easy call is pool c becoming easier to get.

Its not greedy.....its ebil.......and given that my goal is to reduce inflation by destroying a total of 200B (yes billion) inf making it into prestige I don't know if it really counts as greed anyhows. I don't know what the supply of money in the game is....but I know if I wasn't doing what I'm doing along with Fulmens and 1-2 others that prices on everything would be at least 5% higher across the board (except on stuff which has no bids ever).

But yes....I pre-plan well in advance. I'm already stocking up on stuff I think will become more valuable with incarnates system approaching...though I'll admit we're more in the dark there so I may well be wrong with more of those moves than I have been with the GR ones.

I just plan on staying away from the markets for awhile after GR comes out to let things settle down a bit before getting back in and seeing what the new landscape looks like. I'm just too lazy to try and put a ton of effort in trying to determine what I can make a bunch of money on as soon as GR comes out.

I've been too lazy to look for opportunities. All I did was quickly check red side prices, and got out of niches that looked like they might collapse. My brilliant prediction is that some niches will collapse and others will be created.

I think that it will cause Atlantis to rise from the depths.

Hmmm, maybe in i21?

I am not much of a red side player so I do not have much of an opinion on exactly what will happen but no matter what the immediate effect I expect things will smooth out quickly enough.

Rocks fall, everyone dies. Usually a safe bet in an RPG, given a long enough time frame.

Easy predictions:
1. The recent hardware upgrade resulting in markets, AE and globals being down will happen and people will ignorantly blame the market merger.

2. Market haters will blame marketeers for all their failings.

3. Someone will post about a market price as if it is only the WW or BM on their one server yet mention the market merge in the complaint.

I thought I'd be crafty and checked out the prices of a few things I need and can't afford on one side or the other and a couple of purples I deal with. Turns out the prices on both sides were about the same. If I had more time, I could probably find stuff (like the pet IOs mentioned above), but...

Dogs and Cats living together. Real wrath of Deity stuff.

Amateur Prediction Hour:

i)Common and Uncommon Salvage will be dirt cheap, talking 5-1,000 influence cheap as there will be a glut of these on the Market.

ii)Rare salvage used in purples and high ends will spike to the 3,000,000 to 5,000,000 level them drop back to around 1,500,000 to 2,000,000. Mid-level rares will gain supply as player roll a ton of new alts.

iii)Increased demand for melee sets send Kinetic Combat, Crushing Impacts, Mako's Bites et al. on a large spike for the first three weeks to a month. I expect to see Kin Combat triples to sell for hundreds of millions over a short period.

iv)Many sought after Pool C will drop to the 45,000,000 to 75,000,000 range. Canny Villain/Hero Merit earners will likely grab their share of LOTG 7.5 and so on and sell them; both sides supply means more of these will be on the Market. There will be some crazy mavericks that spend spend spend but after a few weeks prices will stabilize to a new equilibrium. I'm calling 80,000,000 for LOTGs, about 55,000,000 for Miracles and some level 30 or so items (Shield Break Proc, Eradications) hovering at high levels as people tend not to produce many of these.

v)Expect more Karma KB, Steadfasts and so on to hit the Markets as lowbie content in Praetoria is run.

vi)Purples will likely be a madhouse. All those villain players with purses meet the hero players and spending sprees cause happy marketers/sellers. I'm expecting to see some Apocs and Ragnaroks and so on around 300,000,000 to 500,000,000 for a short time then dropping to around the 200,000,000 range.

vii)Respec recipes won't be worth much...but will be in a month or two when people decide they don't like their current builds for new alts. Expect these to be around 110,000,000 or so.

viii)I expect...oddball bids on stuff. A friend of mine collects those Titan Origins and wants them in our villain base for fun. He'll likely drop 50 million on a bunch of them. Some hold and sleep sets will rise because of Electric Control, as well as Recharge Intensives and Soulbounds.

ix)Players will complain that stuff is two expensive and we'll explain how to make money, be ignored and the Devs will make a kludge fix.

x)My Warshade will continue to power up, casually and under the radar.

I have two predictions.

1. I will make lots of inf on the market.
2. I will spend lots of inf on the market.

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