I Hate the Market: a Random Roll Log

Do you hate the market? Sure, we all do! So let's roll some Alignment Merits in the level 35-39 range and sell all the recipes for 1.

To be "worth it" I need to get 67-68 million inf per roll on average. No set time frame, just until I don't feel like it anymore or get bored, or both. One roll a day unless I feel like doing more. Given prices are net. "V" indicates a vendored recipe.

ROLL THE FIRST:
Devastation: Dam/Rech (50 Recipe). V9,995
Numina's Convalescence: Heal/Rech (50 Recipe). 36,000,005
Glimpse of the Abyss: Chance for Psionic Damage (50 Recipe). V9,995
Decimation: Acc/End/Rech (40 Recipe). 522,995
Obliteration: Acc/Dam/Rech/End (50 Recipe). 49,576,505

THIS ROLL: 86,119,495
AVERAGE OF 1 ROLL: 86,119,495

COMMENTARY: 2 pieces of junk, a marginal recipe and two good ones. Above the target by 20ish million. Pretty good!

WARNING: I bold names.

I've got my last 20 rolls documented. I crafted nearly everything, the rolls are at level 33 and I listed at what I felt was fair pricing, sometimes a bit higher depending upon Goat Rule.

My current average net (after crafting and salvage costs and the market take) profit per roll is 92,781,725 infl. with 5 IOs still unsold, probably overpriced.

If anyone is interested, I can post the whole list, but you might consider that outside the scope of this project.

I wish I had the guts to vender those off at 1inf. I just know, with my luck, they'd sell for 100.

You, sir, are a stud. I'm looking forward to seeing how this works out.

if you craft and sell most of the things you've listed you'd net a good bit more influence.

Alternately you can buy Rectified Recticle recipes to craft/sell at 1 AM, or save up for a lotg.

The rolls will eventually even out to worse gains than specific buys.

You've said that you've been crafting. That alone is probably the reason you're seeing a higher profit margin. For someone who wants to do the bare minimum and just make the roll and take the recipes to the market, I'd put money on that being a loss in the long run over specific purchases. Also, the OP is listing for 1, so everything's going for the highest lowball bid, which is likely bringing profits down somewhat.

Recipes are where the frugal, patient types bid. Crafted IOs are where the impatient spendaholics bid. The difference in profit margin is quite noticeable.

I'd missed that Lohenien was also talking about crafted goods. Carry on then.

Random rolls have nothing to do with the market though.

They provide a way to get stuff without using the market (and more stuff in less time than direct A/R Merit purchases, though less likely to be what you want).

They also give a means to help stock the market, though I doubt that's a priority for a market hater.

I'm not entirely sure what the OP's goal or motivation is in this thread though, nor do I agree with the premise that "we all hate the market". But it spawned some interesting side-discussions, so who cares if the OP phrased something oddly?

And now for today's roll!

ROLL THE THIRD:
Aegis: End/Rech (50 Recipe). 50,005
Devastation: Acc/Dam/Rech (50 Recipe). 1,802,735
Dark Watcher's Despair: Recharge/Endurance Reduction (50 Recipe). V9,995
Gift of the Ancients: +7.5% Run Speed (40 Recipe). -4
Positron's Blast: Chance for energy damage (50 Recipe). 23,005

THIS ROLL: 1,885,736
3 ROLL TOTAL: 186,166,558
3 ROLL AVERAGE: 62,055,519

COMMENTARY: Well, given my first two rolls were lucky, I was due for a correction and that's what happened. Most notable is the +7.5% Run Speed (+7.5% Recharge's evil twin!) which I paid someone to take. Still, I'm only a few million below my target, and the next roll is bound to be better according to the law of averages, right?

SIDE NOTE: I do appreciate all those who craft and sell. I buy crafted Enhancements all the time because I have no problem paying others to do what I am unwilling to do. I do craft on occasion, when I get a good recipe I want to slot. And when I do, I head to the Crafter's Cafe!

WARNING: I bold names.

UPDATED
Daemodand's butler: "A roll, sir?"
Daemodand: "Why yes, Jeeves! I'd ask you something but my other butler Google seems to give better answers. And does anyone still use you? Are you even still running?"
Daemodand's butler: "No."
Daemodand: "Awkward! On to today's roll!"

ROLL THE FOURTH:
Devastation: Chance to hold (50 Recipe). V9,995
Lockdown: Acc/End/Rech/Hold (50 Recipe). 45,005
Positron's Blast: Chance for energy damage (50 Recipe). 18,005
Obliteration: Acc/Dam/Rech/End (50 Recipe). 54,000,011
Scirocco's Dervish: Chance for lethal damage (50 Recipe). 4,506

THIS ROLL: 54,077,522
4 ROLL TOTAL: 240,244,080
4 ROLL AVERAGE: 60,061,020

COMMENTARY: Remind me to fire Jeeves. Pretty lousy roll! Obliteration pulled it out of the fire to some extent, but we have 3 pieces of junk (and probably a fourth when Lockdown sells...we'll see) and Obliteration was the only good one of the bunch. Scirocco's Dervish was a bit head-scratching as the bids outnumbered the recipes for sale and the last 5 were all 100,000, but mine went for 5K. Boo! Listing for 1 does come back to haunt you at times, though I'd argue this is one of those semi-junk recipes with only marginal value if it can go for so little.

I'm about 7 million off my stated goal at this point, and I have to admit, I'm feeling pretty nervous about continuing at this point. It's things like this that drive people to the direct buy-craft-sell method, owing to its comparative certainty.

Wish me luck on tomorrow's roll! I'll need it.
*DUN-DUN-DUUUUUUUN!*

P.S. Updated with the Lockdown that sold for 50K. Zero bids, they could have gotten it for 1, but paid 50,000. Thanks, I needed that. Statistically insignificant to the final results, though.

WARNING: I bold names.