Basic Economics


Adeon Hawkwood

 

Posted

Wow! Hecatomb 400 mil! Excuse me for being so surprised but I haven't played the market in a while (probably about to issues ago). WTH? What happened? I remember 40 mil for a Hecatomb. Basic economics dictates that demand is up, but why? Are a lot of people purchasing influence (personally that "chaps my hide")? Are the purple recipes being "randomly" awarded more often (then they should cost less)? Is it because of the new issue Incarnates? I'm playing the market as it dictates (never thought I would ever break 1 billion influence) but are we gonna have to knock off some zeroes eventually?

Is this inflation a sign of bad things to come? Will people cancel their subscriptions because they can't afford the time or influence to optimize their characters? Am i missing something about acquiring these purple recipes?

Just curious.


 

Posted

Maybe it's just me but anything like a Hecatomb, Armageddon, Apocalypse, etc...always did at least 200-400 million +.

Only purples that I've seen go for less than 100 million were things like the pet set, sleep, stun and maybe a few of the hold IOs....oh and the confuse set....

*shrugs*


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Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Praying_Mantiss View Post
Wow! Hecatomb 400 mil!
400mil!! 400mil!! WOW! The price has dropped!


 

Posted

The cause of the price rises is a combination of a few factors. In particular Merits and the AE drastically shifted the relative supply of items while Inf earning rates went up due to both the AE and a "bug fix" that essentially doubled inf gains for level 50s.

The net effect was that prices overall went up somewhat, the price of some highly desirable items (such as LotG 7.5%s or the special healing IOs) dropped due to increased supply. Purples ended up getting hit with a double whammy, in addition to the general increase in prices due to more inf coming in the ease of AE farming caused a decrease in the popularity of farming regular missions and a decrease in the rate of purple recipe production.

As for inflation the economy seems to be relatively stable for the moment so hyper inflation is not something I'm hugely concerned about.


 

Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Energizing_Ion View Post
Maybe it's just me but anything like a Hecatomb, Armageddon, Apocalypse, etc...always did at least 200-400 million +.

Only purples that I've seen go for less than 100 million were things like the pet set, sleep, stun and maybe a few of the hold IOs....oh and the confuse set....
No, they used to go for 40million-60million but this was several years ago, (back before the AE). I remember acquiring a Ragnarok set for my Blaster at those prices.


 

Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Praying_Mantiss View Post
Basic economics dictates that demand is up, but why?
Or that inf is easier to come by. The amount of inf earned by 50s by defeating enemies has almost doubled.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Praying_Mantiss View Post
Are a lot of people purchasing influence (personally that "chaps my hide")?
I don't think any more than before, but I have no way of knowing.
My toons have a whole hella lot more inf than a few years back. I made my money by selling drops, and working the market.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Praying_Mantiss View Post
Is it because of the new issue Incarnates?
In the niches I follow, prices have all declined since I20. I suspect because everyone is playing their 50s and playing them for longer than they were a short while ago.
One of my niches saw sales prices drop in the neighborhood of 50%.
I don't follow Hecatombs, but in the purples I do follow prices have taken a nosedive recently by about 1/3. Now they're selling for about 400mil-450mil whereas previously they were selling for about 500mil to 625mil+

Quote:
Originally Posted by Praying_Mantiss View Post
Will people cancel their subscriptions because they can't afford the time or influence to optimize their characters? Am i missing something about acquiring these purple recipes?
I would say yes, you are missing something. When the prices are high, you sell.
High prices mean that when you get a purple drop, you can sell it for a lot of inf.
Working the market is double plus easy. Pick a niche. Learn the high and low bid and sale point. Buy stuff for the low point and sell it for the high point.


 

Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Adeon Hawkwood View Post
No, they used to go for 40million-60million but this was several years ago, (back before the AE). I remember acquiring a Ragnarok set for my Blaster at those prices.
I remember being tickle as can be when I sold my LotGs for 15-20 mil


 

Posted

Supply and demand.

1) Supply of inf has, in fact, gone up. Some of this was the doubling that has been mentioned, some of it is people coming up with much more efficient ways of farming, and some of it is many more people playing their level 50's, often on large teams [which generate more inf per recipe.]
2) Supply of most IO's has gone up. You can get a "task force" recipe for at most two Alignment Merits and random non-TF recipes for a handful of AE tickets. [Karma -KB has gone from 40 million to 5 million inf; I think it started around 10 million inf in issue 9, when 300 million bought you the best build in the game.]
3) Supply of purple IO's has gone up very little. There is no useful shortcut to get purple IO's: the cost in Alignment Merits is deliberately disproportionate. (In AM's, one purple is about the cost of fifteen Luck of the Gambler: Recharges.)

So that's the "supply" side. "Demand"- since more people are playing their 50's, on the harder Incarnate content, more people are trying to purple their 50's out. There are very few ways of burning inf other than paying 10% to the Market. So every inf farmed gets spent about ten times before it goes away. (all other ways of burning inf are relatively trivial, compared to buying a 400 M purple and burning 40 million in fees.)

Result: You have a LOT more inf chasing only a few more top-end goods. If you want anything other than top-end goods [see the Karma example] you will find prices have gone up by a much smaller amount. Orange salvage is still 2-3 million inf, which hasn't changed much since Issue 9.

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Posted

I have 10x the influence and earn influence about 10x as fast as I did back when Hecatombs might have been 1/10 the price. Not sure if that's atypical or typical, but for me, the TRUE price of top end goods in terms of time spent is about the same or falling. How many zeros there are in the price is just a number.


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Posted

I remember paying 40 mil for Hecatomb too. Prices on purples made a huge jump after I14, when the farmers moved to AE farms. They're still going up steadily though. I just paid significantly more for an Apocalypse set a week ago than I did 6 months ago.


 

Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Intrinsic View Post
I remember paying 40 mil for Hecatomb too. Prices on purples made a huge jump after I14, when the farmers moved to AE farms. They're still going up steadily though. I just paid significantly more for an Apocalypse set a week ago than I did 6 months ago.
Yeah... my Dominator's original build, with two purple sets, purchased just before AE hit, cost her almost a billion inf combined. A couple of months ago, I purchased her two more purple sets, which were going for about half a billion per piece on average. My perception is that there was a sharp price spike in the months after AE hit, a slow but steady price increase afterward, and a moderate price spike between when Incarnate content was announced and when it hit live.


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Posted

I like the prices purples are at, but that is because I haven't slotted any yet. I had one drop last night on a Lambda Trial and listed it on the market for 1 inf as a recipe. It sold instantly for about 350 million inf and I bought 2 sets of Kinetic Combats I needed.


 

Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Energizing_Ion View Post
Maybe it's just me but anything like a Hecatomb, Armageddon, Apocalypse, etc...always did at least 200-400 million +.
No, they didn't. My main's entire build cost me about 900 million and it includes 3 purple sets: Hecatomb (all 6), Armageddon (all 6) and Apocalypse (5 pieces). In hindsight, it seems that, by pure chance, I was buying them at or near the lowest prices they ever hit.


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Posted

Ah yes. Ye olde markete dayes.

*puffs pipe*

This thread has brought back memories of my first ever purple drop. It was on my first 50, who wasn't even 50 then. She'd just hit 48 and was fighting Carnies. I remember that quite clearly. A Ragnarok dam/rech, it was. It sold for 45 million and funded her entire build, with plenty left over. 'Course, these were the days before Reward Merits, before the ITF, even, when people ran Speed Katies and cursed their luck when they got yet another Sting of the Manticore or Crap of the Hunter.

Man, those days sure sucked.


 

Posted

Makes me chuckle to think back to farming Wing Recipe drops back when they 1st came out and being boggled that they would go for 20mil. By far the highest priced items at the time I recall


Global: @Kelig

 

Posted

Fairy wings used to go for 2 billion, and I was lucky enough to get one...but on test.



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