No more driver's licenses by 2040?


Aggelakis

 

Posted

Hmm, I read some of the CNN comments and the reoccurring question was liability. I suspect the vehicles will end up on a subscription service (somewhere between insurance and gps updates) that covers the liability expectations of the provider. Although the insurance industry may try and muscle in early and force an anachronistic vehicle owner insurance policy under the probably mistaken belief that providing liability insurance to providers is a loss of revenue.

I'd mail this to a Google engineer now and get my name on the idea, but I don't know any. ;p


 

Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jack_NoMind View Post
Hmm, I read some of the CNN comments and the reoccurring question was liability. I suspect the vehicles will end up on a subscription service (somewhere between insurance and gps updates) that covers the liability expectations of the provider. Although the insurance industry may try and muscle in early and force an anachronistic vehicle owner insurance policy under the probably mistaken belief that providing liability insurance to providers is a loss of revenue.

I'd mail this to a Google engineer now and get my name on the idea, but I don't know any. ;p
Interesting. I think this liabilty thing will cause a set back of about 5-10 years as they work it out. Or a few million into the pocket of the "right politician" and that may cut the time down to a 1-3 year setback.


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Posted

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Originally Posted by Jack_NoMind View Post
Hmm, I read some of the CNN comments and the reoccurring question was liability. I suspect the vehicles will end up on a subscription service (somewhere between insurance and gps updates) that covers the liability expectations of the provider. Although the insurance industry may try and muscle in early and force an anachronistic vehicle owner insurance policy under the probably mistaken belief that providing liability insurance to providers is a loss of revenue.

I'd mail this to a Google engineer now and get my name on the idea, but I don't know any. ;p
You're talking about two different things: legal liability and insurance. In terms of insurance, I would assume initially that computer control would be handled identically to cruise control. The choice to use it is up to you, but you're still responsible for what it does from an insurance perspective. In terms of legal liability, the question for the courts will be whether there exists a reasonable expectation the computer systems will perform adequately. If they don't, manufacturers may be liable just as they are now for any other system in the car. If they do and an unpredictable failure occurs, that would probably be no different than any other such failure. If computer control accidentally runs someone over, that will probably be no different legally than if your brakes fail and you run over someone. The questions will revolve around whether you maintained them reasonably well and there were any other contributing factors.


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Originally Posted by Arcanaville View Post
You're talking about two different things: legal liability and insurance. In terms of insurance, I would assume initially that computer control would be handled identically to cruise control. The choice to use it is up to you, but you're still responsible for what it does from an insurance perspective. In terms of legal liability, the question for the courts will be whether there exists a reasonable expectation the computer systems will perform adequately. If they don't, manufacturers may be liable just as they are now for any other system in the car. If they do and an unpredictable failure occurs, that would probably be no different than any other such failure. If computer control accidentally runs someone over, that will probably be no different legally than if your brakes fail and you run over someone. The questions will revolve around whether you maintained them reasonably well and there were any other contributing factors.
yea except with brake failure especially the ones of the mechnical kind it' pretty simple to recreate the symptoms in a setting and or look and see. Computer they can glitch run someone over and then the proof is gone that there was a malfunction in the first place.


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Originally Posted by Evil_Legacy View Post
yea except with brake failure especially the ones of the mechnical kind it' pretty simple to recreate the symptoms in a setting and or look and see. Computer they can glitch run someone over and then the proof is gone that there was a malfunction in the first place.
Are you talking about the real world, or an episode of Columbo?


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Originally Posted by Arcanaville View Post
You're talking about two different things: legal liability and insurance.
Insurance exists to cover liability, and the "ownership" of this liability will be decided in part by a financial battle between insurance providers and service providers. I expect the courts to find all inhabitants of a robotic vehicle to be "passengers," and the vehicle itself to be the liability... the question is whether or not the owner (who could have failed to maintain the vehicle) or the manufacturer (who could have failed to provide adequate safeguards or sufficient indication of an impending failure) to be responsible for this liability.

Historically in the US I believe the pressure of class action suits has pushed the liability on to product manufacturers, who cover this cost (self-insure) by increasing prices for the consumer. Am I really that mistaken?

Edit : Ah. I jumped ahead a few decades on you. I'm already imagining cars without steering wheels. ;p


 

Posted

I can see the court case now when someone decided to skip patching their car and then something bad happens.


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Originally Posted by Arcanaville View Post
Are you talking about the real world, or an episode of Columbo?
Not sure what Columbo is.


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Originally Posted by Father Xmas View Post
I can see the court case now when someone decided to skip patching their car and then something bad happens.
yea.


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Originally Posted by Evil_Legacy View Post
Not sure what Columbo is.
Either you are under 20 or you have lived under a rock for 30 years.


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Originally Posted by Aggelakis View Post
Either you are under 20 or you have lived under a rock for 30 years.
I'm over 20 and never even been under a rock before.


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Originally Posted by Zombie Man View Post
Let me translate...

Looks like Elmo in a trenchcoat? I'm not getting it?


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Posted

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Originally Posted by Evil_Legacy View Post
yea except with brake failure especially the ones of the mechnical kind it' pretty simple to recreate the symptoms in a setting and or look and see. Computer they can glitch run someone over and then the proof is gone that there was a malfunction in the first place.
You do realize that many (or most) systems in the great majority of cars are mediated by the car's computers? In fact it's been that way for at least twenty years now. Even more so if the car has cruise control.
One example: Anti-lock brakes? Computer controlled.
Beyond driving vintage/antique cars there are few designs where computer glitches are not a possibility, even if they remain less likely than mechanical failures.


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Posted

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Originally Posted by Jack_NoMind View Post
They don't, and I imagine will mostly be used for relatively predictable driving conditions initially (eg, highways). But the safety offered by the technology is of principal benefit when it's employed more-or-less universally and without the option for a driver to override it -- the latter of which is much more reliably ensured by a combination of technology and legislature than by either alone. Once the technology is proven, it's likely that user-driven vehicles will become (largely) a thing of the past. A risky, quaint and barbaric custom enjoyed by hobbyists in private, like horsemanship or steam engine operation.

Which I don't mind, honestly. I just want it to take long enough that by the time I can't choose to drive myself publicly I would have been rubbish at it anyway.
One of Larry Niven's short stories talks about the lunatics who drive cars manually without any sort of computer guidance. The main character is aghast at the reckless disregard for their own safety.

Computers can certainly react much faster and precisely than humans, and the newest passenger planes have been flown almost entirely automatically for years. They can even take off and land by themselves if we would let them do it. The only problem I have is that when computers mess up, they do so spectacularly, as with Toyota's computer glitches with brakes a couple years ago and the weird bug that turned Prius headlights off at night. Of course, *any* system can go tits up at any moment, but I find computers to be a bit more unreliable than mechanical doohickeys. I don't find it reassuring that it's common practice to ship cars with what amounts to beta-test-level software that they patch as they go. (Even the most expensive cars do this.) It's also a little unnerving that often the solution to a glitch your car is having can be rectified by unplugging the battery for half an hour, thus resetting the computer to the factory specs.


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Originally Posted by Schismatrix View Post
You do realize that many (or most) systems in the great majority of cars are mediated by the car's computers? In fact it's been that way for at least twenty years now. Even more so if the car has cruise control.
One example: Anti-lock brakes? Computer controlled.
Beyond driving vintage/antique cars there are few designs where computer glitches are not a possibility, even if they remain less likely than mechanical failures.
yep I realize that but still require driver imput to start process and drive. Now this is totally different animal where human imput is not eve needed to do anything even control.


And I wouldnt say no possibility with the glitches as I have seen many glitches in many of those systems before. Everything from the starting system, abs, transmission gear selection, safety mode, firing order, amount of fuel, etc.
and the brakes still work even if the abs system goes kaputz.

So if someone goes wrong wit ha system and the car crashes, is it the driver's fault for not staying up and paying attention ready to take control if some component fails or is it the maufactuer's fault?

More than likely the manufactuer will still add in an override feature of some sort and or auto drive being something the driver must actually "press" or engage with a warning label of still the driver must remain alert and injuries that happen due to inattention of the driver is sole responsibility of the driver. Which in a way defeats the purpose a car that drive it own self.


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Originally Posted by Ironik View Post
One of Larry Niven's short stories talks about the lunatics who drive cars manually without any sort of computer guidance. The main character is aghast at the reckless disregard for their own safety.

Computers can certainly react much faster and precisely than humans, and the newest passenger planes have been flown almost entirely automatically for years. They can even take off and land by themselves if we would let them do it. The only problem I have is that when computers mess up, they do so spectacularly, as with Toyota's computer glitches with brakes a couple years ago and the weird bug that turned Prius headlights off at night. Of course, *any* system can go tits up at any moment, but I find computers to be a bit more unreliable than mechanical doohickeys. I don't find it reassuring that it's common practice to ship cars with what amounts to beta-test-level software that they patch as they go. (Even the most expensive cars do this.) It's also a little unnerving that often the solution to a glitch your car is having can be rectified by unplugging the battery for half an hour, thus resetting the computer to the factory specs.

<-----This.


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Evil_Legacy became one of my favorite posters with two words.
"Kick Rocks."
I laffed so hard. Never change, E_L!

 

Posted

Quote:
Originally Posted by Necrotech_Master View Post
i personally would love an autonomous car

im not gonna lie, im really lazy and hate driving lol

This for me.

I don't like driving at all and would love to take a nap or do whatever while the computer drives me to and from work/home.

P.S. I'm curious though: How did you cross 4 lanes of traffic when you're engine died on you Ironblade?


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Posted

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Originally Posted by Energizing_Ion View Post
This for me.

I don't like driving at all and would love to take a nap or do whatever while the computer drives me to and from work/home.

P.S. I'm curious though: How did you cross 4 lanes of traffic when you're engine died on you Ironblade?
You can provided the car has enough momentum and there are the right breaks in traffic. Turn signals and emergency flashers are helpful as well.

The trick is to maintain momentum and avoid maneuvers that cost you that momentum like hitting the brakes and making abrupt turns or lane changes then spread you lane crossing out. This is all moot though if you have the space to just zip over and into the emergancy lane which then leads to....

Power steering might be a pain as well as power brakes but given a reasonable amount of space this isn't a big challenge.

The biggest danger in a situation like this are inattentive or unaware drivers followed by drivers who cannot judge speed correctly ( all drivers to some degree frankly).



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