Leandro

Since the drop rate for Incarnate trial components was adjusted in the April 26th patch, I've been collecting data on every trial I've run. A little while ago I finished trial #100, for an average of 1.28 trials per day, and I want to share the information I collected. The raw data is here. In total, I ran 48 BAFs, 28 Lambdas, and 24 Keyes.

Component Drops

We know there is a threshold of activity below which a player only gets 10 threads, and above that they get a Component. Assuming that there's only one threshold (you either get threads, or a component of random quality), we can gather drop rates from it. And my numbers are...



For me, over 100 runs, the drops heavily hinted at 10% Very Rares, 20% Rares, 30% Commons, and 40% Uncommons. The drops were somewhat streaky, though: I got three Very Rares in a row, and two Rares in a row twice.

Note that I was using two characters to run trials, and one of them got 8 Very Rares, and the other got 2, both running a very close number of trials. This is a prime example of the RNG being random; all comes down to luck. I went 30 runs without a Very Rare, and a the moment it's been 19 runs since my last Very Rare.

Completion Time

I measure the time from the first "radio transmission" to the moment the final AV is defeated. I don't use zoning into the map as a starting point because then the opening cutscene time would appear in some runs but not in others, screwing up the data; also, not everybody zones in at the same time. The first speech bubble gives me a good consistent point in which to begin measuring.



BAF: The fastest BAF run took 13:34; the worst, 35:33. Don't ask about that one. It was a horrible, horrible situation and I swore to never speak of it again. The average time to complete was 17:45; the median time, 17:09.

Lambda: The fastest run took 19:33; the slowest, 34:06. The average completion time was 25:08, and the median, 24:26. While it is longer than BAF, it's not that much longer; and usually, at least on Freedom, people run both back to back.

Keyes: Oh boy. Keyes. The fastest run took 31:46, and the slowest, 54:20; the average time to complete was 41:19, and the median, 41:15. If run with people who know exactly what to do, sub-40 minute times are the norm. If you have to explain things to people, better schedule an hour for this trial.

I sorted the data in order to show the "time trends" better:



The worst BAF runs will still be faster than the best Lambda runs (I'm still not talking about that extremely bad run that soils the graph) and the worst Lambda runs will be faster than the best Keyes runs. It's no surprise that broadcast in Pocket D sees a lot of "looking for anything but Keyes".

Golden Girl beat me to it.

It was already stated by Black Scorpion during the Praetorian Surge events (and again during a Ustream chat) that there's Proliferation planned for i21.

This is now confirmed by Avatea.

Suggestions and Ideas forum is over there. Jay's Costume Request Thread in particular.

So we have a league of 12 doing Keyes, no problem. At some point, one person disconnects; no big deal, that usually happens. We complete first reactor, we complete second reactor. All is going well. We get to third reactor with 11 players, collect 8 glowies, and this giant red text appears:

"TOO FEW PLAYERS TO CONTINUE!"

Trial instantly failed. 30 minutes down the drain. What the hell, devs? Just WHAT THE HELL?