Misaligned

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  1. 00010100 00101101 11110010 00001101 10101001
  2. Bah! Posting a screenie with me dropping lower in the rankings. How DARE YOU!?

    I'm trying to do this very casually. And by casually, I mean I am only making inf accidentally. The further you guys push me down the list, the more I feel compelled to get off my butt and start marketeering again

    I mean if a guy can't maintain the #1 or #2 spot by only utilizing 5-10 market slots a day, what is this world coming to?!

    I guess I'll have to tell my kids that they're only getting 300 mil each to pimp out their level 25 MMs this week

    How can you do this to my kids?!!

    Ebil bastages!!
  3. Intrinsic run to da center!
  4. Quote:
    Originally Posted by BunnyAnomaly View Post
    5 bil is brave.
    Aye! But I hope you get it!

    I'm waiting for the day that one sells for 50 bil. Now that will be something!
  5. Quote:
    Originally Posted by WingSpan View Post
    ................................
    We're in ur server...

    Eatin ur dotz...

  6. There are about a dozen or more common salvage items that have been in extremely short supply for more than a week - Spirit Thorns for example keep hitting 20 or less for sale. Items that typically have 500+ for sale have bottomed out and just don't seem to recover.

    *shrug*

    The funniest thing is, even when there's only 15 left for sale, you can still get them for under 5k in generally less than 10 minutes.
  7. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Gaderath View Post
    Actually, it is extremely relevant, because lvl 50 ones are more common, and often go for much less inf than you are asking, AND work exemplared to any level
    http://boards.cityofheroes.com/showthread.php?t=241886

    http://boards.cityofheroes.com/showthread.php?t=241946

    Found one that went for 2.5

    http://boards.cityofheroes.com/showthread.php?t=241217
  8. Quote:
    Originally Posted by PuceNonagon View Post
    In the OPs second post, he queries "So, nobody wants this?" seeming to imply that he expected it to sell and is experiencing some wonder as to why it hasn't. I thought a response as to why I did't jump in and buy it at three billion could better help him (and all of us) gauge a selling price that would garner active bidding. He asked a question, to which I gave a reply

    Also, at the end of my post I told him that I would pay two billion for it, further helping the OP understand where the market is for that item.

    What I hate are people who criticize other posters for reasons not worth the keystrokes it took to type it out. If there is a thread-jacker in this thread, it's you my friend.

    (Of course, I understand the cosmic irony in that I become also a thread-jacker by engaging you in your asinine thread-jacking discussion.)

    I also hate people who criticize other posters for reasons not worth the keystrokes... blah blah blah.

    I also tend to get overly annoyed by people who lack basic reading comprehension. Try reading them again... especially the edit at the end of my last post.

    But thanks for playing. We appreciate it.
  9. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Thaumator View Post
    Fixed that for you.
    Clever... will you be my hero?
  10. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Fulmens View Post
    Here's my view. Off-market stuff doesn't have a "last 5" so if we don't have discussions about what people think it's worth, we have no idea what it's worth. Maybe 2 billion IS a better price for it than 3. I don't have any opinions on the specific matter, but we have no transparency in off-market transactions, so I'm totally willing to have this discussion.

    Personally I've not optimized anyone to run tips- certainly not to the point where I can keep my tip jar full AND run five missions in fifteen minutes. I've learned from the Eden trial, among others, that if someone claims to be able to do things insanely fast... they usually can.

    So 16 hours spread over 70 days gets you a shiny PVP of your own. I don't really know what I make on the market, but I estimate around 150 million a day. It's probably a little more than half an hour a day even when I'm not futzing around, because I run two marketers twice a day (roughly) with a 5 minute timer on the invention table. Let's say I make 100M a day if I limit myself to 30 min/day (because my timer runneth over, always.) So my 16 hours gets me, over a month, around 3.2 billion inf.

    For me it's worth 3.2 Bn, logically, while for Puce it's worth... whatever 16 hours of clock time and two months of elapsed time is worth to them.
    You are correct. We do not have a last 5 for forum sales. And a discussion of what it may be worth could be possible - if the OP was wondering why their IO wasn't selling imo. However, a discussion of what it is worth is tantamount to thread jacking. The OP posted a price for an IO for sale, then asked for offers - not a recommendation of what it might be worth to various people

    It just bothers me that people feel obligated to tell you that you're charging too much. When I had one of these for sale, I received offers through the forums and a couple in game. However, I received about 4x that number from people who told me I was "charging too much" and that the IO "wasn't worth it". I also received a slew of "I'm not paying that much for it because I can get one for X". Mine still sold for what I was asking for it. *boggle*

    Its irritating to the seller and irrational. No one goes to a car dealer and says "Hey, I have no interest in ever buying one of your cars, but come over here while I tell you why you're charging too much and why someone will never pay you that much for it." Yet people feel compelled to do it here.

    If it were a simple "I'm sorry, but for the most part people have been selling those for 2 billion here on this forums. Good luck with your 3 billion " then I would have little to gripe about.

    However, as I asked earlier, why do people feel that they must come here, point out that they personally would never pay that much, explain the 800 different reasons why they would never pay that much, then carefully explain to the OP what they would pay for the item which is generally about half of what the person is asking for it? This is the part that irritates me. Like I said - if you don't want to buy it or make an offer - why speak up at all? It is not actually helpful to the OP and generally just takes the form of "Ur dum 4 selling that 4 that price".


    Edit: Now that I think about it a bit - the OP did sort of ask why his wasn't selling - so I can sort of see a discussion about relevant costs - I still don't understand the need to essay about why you won't buy one.
  11. No offense Puce, but I really gotta ask...

    Why do people feel compelled to come to these threads and give long *** explanations about why they aren't going to buy the item?

    I mean really - its an item for sale - not "let's debate what its worth or who would pay what amount for it" now is it?

    The guy is asking 3 bil. You want to offer 2, offer it and move on. If you don't think its worth 3 bil *gasp* don't buy it.
  12. Quote:
    Originally Posted by eryq2 View Post
    Lol
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Thaumator View Post
    exactly

    So helpful and nice as always.

    Pro Tip: You don't want to buy it, stfu and don't buy it. Amazing concept.. I know.
  13. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Minotaur View Post
    So, nobody want this ?

    Looks like I may be slotting it if that continues to be the case by the weekend.

    Don't lose heart. There's been a pile of these through here lately - many many more than usual. It may take you a bit longer to sell this one because of it.
  14. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Nethergoat View Post
    variation on Option 2: find someone else's niche and 'cut in line' so to speak.

    10,000,000
    3,001,100
    3,001,100
    10,000,000
    3,001,100


    someones buying stacks at 3,001,110.
    You can't know what they're doing with them, but it is safe to assume theres PROFIT involved.

    Place a stack of bids at 3,001,101 (I like to go one over so they know someone's messing with them) and figure out what to do with them later. =P

    (in the hypothetical case above, I'd probably just re-list them at 5m or so for quick, mindless profit)
    As tempted as I was to add this (several times) to my responses, I was avoiding the issue of intentionally stomping on someone else's niche. If you're new to the market and you step on the wrong person's you can end up with a very bad taste in your mouth after getting it handed to you.

    To anyone who has market knowledge, go for it! This in itself can be a lot of fun for me - when I'm sitting in a niche (telling myself I shouldn't be) doing some market PvP with someone else who knows what's up I figure about 1/2 the time I win, the other half the other person does - but for the most part, this can be very frustrating if you're just getting started.



    @4

    Nicely done!

    You should write a guide about flipping

    I know I'd read it!
  15. Quote:
    Originally Posted by Fulmens View Post
    How long have we been able to go up to the name field and arrow up/down to go from [eg] the crafted to the recipe?

    I approve of this UI upgrade.



    At least since I started playing (or shortly there after)

    Sorry - I thought everyone knew about this.
  16. Quote:
    Originally Posted by AllYourBase View Post
    Thanks, everyone, for the tips.

    I have read most of the guides here, including yours. I think yours was the first one I read that actually discussed flipping. I have leveraged arbitrage to get start-up funds on characters for a long time now and I get how to price drop/craft sales so I make a profit, so while most of the guides have been helpful in the past, what I need now is knowledge of how to invest. What makes a good investment and why, that sort of thing. My recent acquisition of a recipe whose crafted IO was selling for 100M+ when I listed it versus the ~40M it sold for three weeks later taught me that I don't yet understand the ebb and flow of the market.
    It appears what you are looking for are markers - things that identify a good niche. Yes?

    For flipping, there are many... some things to try:

    Find an item that consistently sells for X - generally you want something that sold 5 today (every day). Place a 3 (or 5) stack of bids for 1/10th the normal price. People accidentally forget 0's. It happens!

    Option 2 - Look for something that has a lot of volatility built in:

    10,000,000
    2,300,000
    14,000,000
    3,400,000
    9,555,555

    Those prices are all over the place. You also know that you "could" have bought one of the last 5 for 2.3 mil and that you "could" have sold one of the last 5 for 14 mil.

    The thing to remember here is that in order to buy something you need to have the highest bid (at that time). In order to sell something, you need to have the lowest offer (at that time).


    Quote:
    So if I were limited to, say, one character logging in twice a week you would suggest I start where? Recipes? Genetics or sets?
    At twice a week, I wouldn't actually suggest flipping anything valued under 50 mil a stack. Flipping tends to be more about volume - with access to the market only twice a week, your volume will be limited, so I would capitalize on higher prices with slower turn over. The good news is that because you will be limiting your time at the market, you can potentially throw up good lowball bids that might take a couple of days to fill anyways and you may not even notice
  17. Quote:
    Originally Posted by seebs View Post
    I cheated, I married someone who understands the gamer gibberish. Used to have an LJ icon of someone with 4-digit health numbers captioned "LF39M Hogger".
    The nerf to Hogger was so uncalled for. 40 man level 2 gnome raids on Hogger were the best!

    And no... I don't own a shirt that says "LF39MC PST" on the back... honest.
  18. TheHallows:

    I have gone back and read all of your posts.

    Here is my conclusion:

    I'm done with you. I've been down this road before and frankly, you're a waste of my time. You say I'm wrong... about something that actually doesn't exist. When I call you to the carpet for it, you say I'm being closed minded and just won't listen to reason.

    This is a circular argument that would persist until I got sick of you. I'm just doing it sooner rather than later.

    I never drew a conclusion.

    You have no idea what the scientific method is - try looking it up. Then try applying it to the OP.

    You argue just like all of the other trolls offering nothing more than your opinion that what I did was wrong. A bit self important aren't you? Thinking that you opinion automatically trumps someone else's work... because you want it to.

    You are uninformed and not willing to even get off your horse to read what I say, instead trying to turn it on me for calling you out. Sorry, you started this - you claim my conclusions are wrong. I tend to get pissy with people who say I'm wrong "just because". Frankly, you've offered nothing even remotely close to evidence that any conclusions you perceived in reading the original post are wrong. If you feel so strongly that my data is wrong, go make your own - but you won't.

    Conclusion 2:

    You may or may not respond to this. If you do, you will solidify my reasoning saying I'm being closed minded - and the cycle continues.

    Have a good one!


    By the way, I am still looking for a our regular "Flippers are Evil" trolls to swing by and show me how this all fits in with their vision of how flippers ruin the economy.
  19. I'd love to play - but I don't have niches I do 2 and move on - though I tend to re-visit many of the same IOs in a week.

    Good luck to everyone!
  20. The most simplistic guide I can think of for flipping salvage is in my signature.

    To more specifically answer your question about flipping salvage, no. You can theoretically do it with all of the salvage. In general, more move in a day than you could possibly handle - even using multiple characters. The trick is to identify a buy point and a sell point you can live with. Mostly this comes down to throttling how many times you want to visit the market.

    For ease of learning, salvage flipping is not really your best bet though. It isn't very indicative of the market as it moves extremely fast and you can't see what is actually happening. Also, when you make a mistake, you are rarely if ever punished for it

    However, if you are set on flipping, I would recommend having 3 characters do your marketeering - 1 for salvage - 1 for recipes - 1 for IOs.

    Specialize each one so you can see what is actually going on with each type of sale.

    And go read the guides! lol
  21. First.. before you get pounced lol

    Flipping: Purchasing an item then reselling said item with no changes made to it - ie, buy a piece of salvage for x sell it for x+

    Crafting: A service provided by the benevolent to the lazy and impatient. The benevolent crafter purchases the parts of the final product then constructs the final product and marks up their cost for a reasonable profit.

    Now that we have that out of the way!

    Assuming you have 1 character at above level 10 and that you don't actually "live" at the market, you will see the following:

    Flipping:

    Salvage - Low end - little risk - average returns of about 10 mil a week with very little effort
    Recipes - Mid range - more risk, but not bad - average returns vary wildly - estimate about 50-100 mil a week depending on how much effort you put forth.
    IOs - Higher end - very risky - average returns will depend on patience - approximately similar returns as recipes.

    Crafting:

    Generic IOs - people can and do make decent money at these. They are very labor intensive though
    "Yellows" - IOs that sell for ~5 mil. Not as much volume as generics, but still fairly high volume. Not a ton of risk involved - returns of about 100 mil a week or so depending on effort
    "Oranges" - IOs that sell for 10mil+. Slower volume - more risk - generally tighter profit margins - Profits can vary between 100 mil a week and 1 billion. This is entirely dependent on effort and knowledge.
    "Purples" - Pure speculation! Don't do these until you have so much money you don't know what to do with it all!

    Re: Guides - There are a TON of guides in the guide section at the top of this forum. Read them all. Every last one of them! If you still have specific questions, please feel free to ask here! There are many resources available to you - but go read the guides and get the basics first!

    Good luck!

    Edit: Nice sig btw =D
  22. Quote:
    Originally Posted by thehallows View Post
    I never made a request. I said that your conclusion was erroneous. That isn't a reason to bring me into any argument you happen to be having with anyone else.


    This is an odd thing to say when I made it clear that I require good data before I will form a conclusion. Instead of bringing me into your argument, why don't you demand some good data from your opponents?

    Also, please don't call me sir. If I happen to grow boy parts in the night and you are made aware of it before I am, then I hope you will find a nicer way to let me know.

    I wouldn't be surprised in the least. That is science, and quite frankly I think it's one of the best things about science. If I made an experiment and someone found something in the data that I missed, I would be overjoyed. Sadly, I don't have a bunch of subjects, nor do I have the knowledge of statistics necessary to do such an experiment myself. There are also plenty of experiments in the real world I would love to undergo if I only had the resources, but c'est la vie.
    First, my apologies Miss (madam... nice lady...?).

    Second, you claim my conclusion was erroneous. Once again I will point out that I never make a conclusion - the absolute closest thing to a conclusion made by me is as follows:

    Quote:
    Anyone else find it interesting that I seemed to have absolutely no effect on this particular salvage even though I expect I was handling a majority percentage of it in one way or another for a week?
    I observe that I seemingly had no effect after handling this salvage for a week. I did not claim that anti-flipping has no effect. I state the actual facts of what occurred.

    You have now asserted twice that I made an erroneous conclusion. Which conclusion are you saying is wrong? And what exactly do you base this on other than your opinion that I didn't do enough data collection in a manner you would find acceptable? Asserting something is incorrect with only an opinion and no actual data to support your claim... your conclusion is the only erroneous one I see here

    You make the claim my conclusions are erroneous - and to you I say that you obviously are not an avid, or perhaps not even a casual reader of this forum. The people this was directed towards were the people who claim that one person (not an army) is capable of impacting any given piece of salvage for an extended period of time through short periods of manipulation. We're talking hours of manipulation here, not weeks - and an insanely small percentage of what is actually sold in a day, not the majority.

    Case and point:

    http://boards.cityofheroes.com/showthread.php?t=239410

    In that thread, Nethergoat messed with Nevermelting Ice for less than 90 minutes. That particular thread generated 143 responses. Cited by the people claiming Goat was ruining the economy were arguments that amounted to "Oh yeah?! Well ur rong!!". There are many instances where marketeers show that flippers have positive effects on a niche over a period of time. Each one is well documented and can be viewed as a series of data collection. Each and every one of those posts which showed supporting data was answered with the following: "Your methods were wrong and therefore don't prove anything - or - you didn't do a large enough sample over a long enough period of time using control groups and such". Sound familiar?


    You asked why I don't ask why I don't request data from my opponents. Gee.. that hadn't occurred to me. I have requested data from you now - twice - does that count?

    There is exactly 0 data beyond anecdotal evidence that flippers do anything but good for the market. People have been asking for data to support these claims for a very long time. As far as I know, there is 0 actual data to support those claims. In fact, I could claim that flippers allow brand new players to have a special power which allows them to obtain a pony that shoots rainbows from its eyes, and there wouldn't a single bit of data to show I was wrong.

    So, I extended this "one person ruining the economy over 90 minutes" out to cover the majority for one piece of salvage for a week. I did the exact opposite of what the doom-sayers claim all flippers do, I did it for a period of time that is considerably longer than their "couple of hours", and then I gave my results - I show number of transactions and final amount of money paid on average for each. Nothing more. I draw no conclusions and I don't even say "See! Ur Rong!" I do go so far as to invite them (or at least note their absence in a later response) to the thread to comment. None have.


    Finally, I will say this to you - you are feeding the trolls by coming here uninformed and claiming that my conclusions are erroneous. You essentially gave them the tiny bit of fodder they require to have an argument about why this data is not valid. You have given the people who have no desire what-so-ever to do any research, but still claim that any and all research done by those who they do not agree with is invalid, the ability to come here and say "Ur Rong!" All over your assertion that my non-existent conclusions are wrong because you want more / different data.

    Thanks for that. It is much appreciated.

    If you are making a mistake when saying my conclusions are erroneous (I don't think you are because I pointed out in my first response to you that I make no conclusions and you ignored that fact) and instead are intending to say my data collection methods are erroneous, you are welcome to replicate them at any time. I outlined the method and requirements for this experiment. You should be able to replicate them at will using the salvage of your choice that meets a similar set of requirements. This does not involve any knowledge of statistics. If you get wildly different results from what I did, then we can talk about what that means.

    Once again I will invite you to run your own experiment. If you are unwilling to do anything aside from sitting here and poo-pooing on other people's work, then you really have very little to offer to the conversation, don't you?
  23. @TheHallows

    Frankly, I have no way of ever accommodating your request. As per my experience, no matter what controls or samples I used or how many people were involved you (or someone like you) would argue the exact same thing.

    The fact is (and this is fact, documented here on these forums for you to paruse) that people are regularly coming here blaming flippers for the following:

    a) Manipulating prices
    b) Putting things for sale beyond the reach of the casual player
    c) Asserting that if flippers left things alone that prices would drop
    d) Asserting (oddly enough) that all of the multitudes of data collected on this very subject and its impact on the specific item don't actually warrant any merit for all of the reasons you claim.

    This was not a "perfect" experiment.
    I had no pre-drawn conclusions when I started this venture.
    I did 1 item for a week with no one else's knowledge so they would not tamper with the actual results.

    The facts as laid out in the very first post are indeed facts. I did handle a major share of Spirit Thorns for 7 days. I did buy them for 1,000 (except for 180 I purchased at 10,000). I did sell them for 100 each.

    Any conclusions drawn are on the part of the reader. The closest I come to drawing a conclusion was to observe that days later the price was still what it was prior to my "meddling" and supply was still in the same range. The only "conclusion" I make in the OP was to observe that nothing changed.

    I did however ask the anti-flipper folks to explain to me how I could have in fact had seemingly 0 impact when they make it fairly clear that someone goofing off with a specific salvage for less than an hour has an impact that lasts (if not indefinitely) at least a few days.

    You sir, I recognize as one of the few who are only going to believe what you choose to. This is your right, but please do not come here to this thread and poo-poo on methods and conclusions that aren't there, were never expected, and will never meet your exacting standards if you in fact are unwilling to do anything to disprove the things you say are flawed.

    You are welcome to repeat this "experiment" in any way shape or form you like. I encourage you to document it, set up controls, and provide what you will consider as an acceptable amount of data.

    Please post your data here. Also, post methods and findings. However, don't feel bad when someone comes here and explains that you didn't use methods "sciencey" enough for them

    Also, don't be surprised when someone uses your hard work to prove a point entirely contrary to what you observed.
  24. Misaligned

    Procs in pets?

    As I understand it, the proc will apply when the pet uses a power that the set would normally work for.

    In english:

    A Hold proc will work when your pet uses a hold. Nothing more.

    I could be horribly mistaken about this, but as I understand it, that's how they work.

    For fluffy, having a lot of powers that offer -To Hit (Cloud Senses is -To Hit, right? ) I would think that particular proc could get some good mileage.

    Unless I am horribly wrong - as stated above.
  25. Misaligned

    Why?

    I have recently discovered a new sort of fun. I have 3 or 4 marketeers at this time. 3 are specialized and one just does some weird speculation. He's losing money atm, but w/e.

    Anyways... moving on...

    When I play alts that aren't marketeers, they generate salvage and recipes. I used to take the time to go through the list, value each recipe as a crafted IO, decide if I could give up the slot for the time needed to sell it - gather the salvage for it - craft it. Run to the vendor and sell everything that wasn't "worthy" of selling and go back to the market trying to calculate what I should be listing the IO for.

    Then I realized that I just don't care.

    I get to the end of a play session - I hit the nearest crafting table - then I hit the market. Everything and I mean EVERYTHING gets listed for 1 inf. IOs, recipes, salvage... ALL of it!

    Omg! I sold that IO for 50k when I could have possibly sold it for 2 mil!

    So what! Who cares?!

    Not me!

    So grats everyone who finds my "gems" hidden all over the market.

    What I find more amazing is the ones that sit there for weeks. Recipes and IOs. Kind of puts in perspective how much people want that IO when I'm giving them away and still no one wants them!



    Another reason:

    I am Joe Average Player. I go and look at my recipes and my salvage and I see that 3 of my drops for the night are worth selling. I get the last 2 pieces of salvage I need for them and I go to the crafting table.

    I make my 3 IOs and I go back to the market. Each one was selling for about 10 mil. However... oddly enough this one now shows the last 5 as selling for 100k.

    Woops! I crafted a recipe I had in inventory that was missing the exact piece of salvage the my other "valuable" recipe needed. DOH!

    Options: List that IO for the 100k that everyone else is or delete it assuring myself 0 inf for my mistake.

    A lot of people will opt for the 100k