Why Random Rolls can be gold (warning: ancedotal)

While I don't have screenshots uploaded yet, here are the results of my latest A-merit roll, for 5 30-34 rare recipes:

1 Miracle: +Recovery
1 Luck of the Gambler: Def/End/Rech
1 Touch of Death: Acc/Dam/End

And to cap it off:

2 Luck of the Gambler: +Recharge.

Estimated market value for the 5 crafted enhancements: 670 (ish) million influence for one A merit. Obviously better than spending 2 to get 1 LotG, right?

In spirit of your luckiness...I will give this a try one more time despite my UHluckiness of rolling.

Edit: Yup, same old crap. This is what I got:

You received Devastation: Chance to hold (Recipe).
You received Unspeakable Terror: Acc/Fear/Rech (Recipe).
You received Luck of the Gambler: Def/End/Rech (Recipe).
You received Neuronic Shutdown: Acc/Hold/Rech (Recipe).
You received Impeded Swiftness: Chance for Smashing Damage (Recipe).

Don't recall all of my random rolls except for the last Hero Merit that gave me a Zephyr minus Knockback, two LotGs and a Mako's Bite, I finally got to 1 billion on one char with them. And he's almost 49 so I'm hoping to hit the big 2 bill during the weekend. As well as 50. One can hope. it will be my first for both.

I happen to have a character who's exactly level 25, and just recently finished his first Morality Mission. I think I'll take a whack at this as well, just to see what happens.

 You received Stupefy: Chance for Knockback (Recipe).
You received Perfect Zinger: Rech/Acc (Recipe).
You received Basilisk's Gaze: Chance for -Rech (Recipe).
You received Aegis: End/Rech (Recipe).
You received Dark Watcher's Despair: Recharge/Endurance Reduction (Recipe).

I now wait for the day when someone in the forum whines about random rolls and says "But Combat posted that doing a random roll will generate over 600 million inf worth of recipes!"

RagManX

When there are one-AM purchases that can go for over 100m, it's hard to justify spending that one AM on five randoms. I've been doing it on a couple of characters in their mid-30s, just to seed the market a little bit, but in terms of inf generation I know it's sub-optimal. For every time I hit an Obliteration or a Zephyr or a Kinetic Combat, there are a bunch of Touch of Deaths, Decimations, Devastations, and other stuff that may get me 10-20m crafted. I'm sure that eventually I'll hit some Miracles and LotGs with those characters, but for pure inf I'd be better off picking a sure thing.

That's fine. I'm going to keep rolling randomly with everybody I have below 40. It's just more fun, I have more inf than I can use already, and I like being the only person selling a given item - even if things do take longer to move...

Bear in mind that my experiment was in November (during the AE monkey business even). Prices change rapidly on the market, so comparing what I got in November vs. what you can get from LotG today may or may not be informative. ^_^

Even so, I think if you can get 220 million out of your LotG then you're probably ahead. That even beats the PvP IO selling for ~ 3 billion.

Organica also had the overhead of 20M for converting merits to A-merits for some of those rolls, and the numbers also reflected market fees, I think (didn't see that in your calc unless I was overlooking it). And at the time I could have sworn LoTG were going for about 150M.

But if they're going for 220M now...yeah, that's a pretty easy way to make a buck.

Some more semi-related ancedotal evidence:

Purples: Are they rare? My level 50 scrapper begs to differ. Not only has he received purples in decent amounts, he has even got 2 of them in a single room, on an 8-man team. Therefore, purples are not rare (fyi, it was the last room of the LGTF).

PS- The moral of the story is that ancedotal evidence is not acceptable. Unless you average it over many, many repititions.