Dumping LotG 7.5% Redside

O.K.

Which one of you was running the LotG 7.5% Global redside niche and decided to crash it pre-GR?

Prices have dropped so much that my lowball bids have filled and I'm probably going to make inf post-merger....but even I have limits on how many more of these things I can buy without having to throw other IOs out on the market.

Prices tend to an equilibrium, right?

How much are LOTGs going for Blue Side?

Where do you expect the Red Side LOTGs to end up in a month when we have merged markets?

Sounds like a couple different people were working together, intentionally or not, to produce that result.

Are you talking 50s?

I've noticed a broad spread on non-50s for the past 50-70 days.
The moderately patient could have grabbed 5 of 'em for 375-500M total.

Yes on 50's. Reasoning being that the IO does have a +def component too so the 50 ones actually are more valuable to a level 50.

I expect the merged equilibrium to run about 15% higher than the blueside 60-day average and about 10% lower than the redside 60-day average based on my modelling of the respective sizes of the blue and redsides and a weight up because a large portion of the player base will be Going Rogue" rather than farming merits by doing a TF sequence (ITF, LGTF, 3xTreeSpec -- or Posi, ITF, LGTF). Less merits created and more doing of regular content = lower prices for high level pool As and higher prices for high level pool Cs.

If my assumptions about GR not producing merits as quickly as TF sequences then I could be wrong. Additionally if GR brings back a large number of "casual gamers" who increase market supply more than their purchasing increases demand I could be wrong....though there is a similar upside variable in that the casual gamers may still need LotG 7.5% for a number of slots on their mains (unlike un-casual gamers who are slotting out toon #11 with a 2-4B build or something and feel less pressure to be fast) and push up demand if they gain purchasing power sufficient to acquire these items.

I have a huge bankroll......I could buy ALL the LotGs being sold redside if I wanted to....I just don't like being so undiversified in case I'm wrong. So I'm curious who decided to dump here since I think its not an economically rational choice, especially now that cross-side email is going in. If that hadn't been announced I'd assume it was people dumping all their redside stuff cause they're Going Hero for the less painful market and I'd be bummed that redside was going to crash so hard.

I guess we'll all have a pretty good idea who was right in about 10 weeks (a bit post-GR)